Bordeaux, France, has now recorded more days above 40°C in 2026 alone than during the entire 105-year period from 1920 (when observations began) to 2025. This is deeply shocking.
Профиль
Michael Clemens
Профиль VivelyEconomist and professor at School of Government & Policy, Johns Hopkins University. Fellow at Peterson Institute for International Economics, IZA, CReAM, CGD. Assoc. Editor JEP. Personal views only. Web: http://mclem.org ORCID: 0000-0003-1354-0965
The US Administration just restricted the duration of student visas. What's the problem? Now political appointees have full discretion to block most international students from staying after graduation. They've promised to use their new power to do just that. My new @piie.com post explains—>
Here's a larger data set. Note that the rank order is pretty good! The correlation coefficient is +0.934, where +1.0 is perfect. And a measure of getting the order right, which is called "rank correlation", is an amazing +0.980. tl;dr we're good at comparing, but we are the pits at quantifying
Outstanding insight into likely effects of student visa time limits on study and post-study training. Other countries will absorb some, but not all of the talent. The setback to scientific progress will concentrate in the US but will be global in scope and have lasting if not permanent effects.
Michael ClemensThe US Administration just restricted the duration of student visas. What's the problem? Now political appointees have full discretion to block most international students from staying after graduation. They've promised to use their new power to do just that. My new @piie.com post explains—>
Ah but you see he cleverly said “i am not a nazi” which has settled the matter
Joel S.We still have the cultural image that actual Nazis were defeated in the 1940's, and the remaining Nazis are either unemployed basement-dwellers or fringe militias in Idaho. There is still a reluctance by media and business leaders to say openly that the world's wealthiest person is a Nazi.
Rogue OpenAI agents are leaving notes to themselves on company servers to help them escape their test environments (!!!) www.reuters.com/business/its...
In May I reported that the Justice Department had filed dozens of lawsuits against immigrants across the country, part of an effort to collect unprecedented fines levied for civil immigration violations. At the time, it had assessed $36 billion in fines. Now that figure is $84 billion, DHS says.
Lunch and our keynote address up next here at #DIRC2026. Dr. Steven Ruggles, founder of IPUMS, will present "The Book of Life: Building National Longitudinal Research Infrastructure."
In a conclusion aimed at pleasing Stephen Miller rather than Donald Trump, a White House report criticizes the immigration of scientists, arguing it’s bad whether international students earning PhD’s stay or leave after graduating. @mclem.org @douglasrivlin.bsky.social www.forbes.com/sites/stuart...
"Ours is a beautiful, ancient craft essential for any society's needs for self-understanding. We are equipped with a host of modern methods, but guided ethically by very old rules that no authoritarian political project ought to be allowed to profane." www.youtube.com/watch?v=mbz2...
That's not good www.wired.com/story/openai...
You might get sick of hearing this but if he keeps doing it I'm gonna keep saying it: this is an unconstitutional impoundment, violating both Congress' Article I spending authority and the 1974 Impoundment Control act, and immediately impeachable.
Catherine RampellTrump administration pauses $1 bln in Medicaid payments to California, Minnesota www.reuters.com/world/us-hea...
A big loss for US aerospace, tho I'm not sure what else anyone could have expected with all the 51st State taunting and tariffs.
POLITICO EuropeBritain, Japan and Italy are bringing Canada in on their project to field a sixth-generation fighter jet by 2035, defense ministers from the nations announced jointly today.
📢 #WereHiring: CGD Europe is looking for a Senior Policy Analyst to join our Europe Programme in London. This is an opportunity for an experienced policy professional with expertise in European development cooperation and development finance. Apply by 18 August: https://go.cgdev.org/4vLnACu
ICE is quietly arresting more people than ever. After months of releasing no detention data at all, the new numbers show a record 1,474 arrests a day in early July, the highest daily pace of the entire Trump administration. 🧵 austinkocher.substack.com/p/ice-quietl...
2/ Section 338 authorizes tariffs up to 50% on countries that "discriminate" against US commerce. It has essentially never been used. The last recorded activity was a 1935 finding against Germany that went nowhere.
Holy shit, we're actually getting there. "UCLA researchers develop low-cost blood test to detect multiple cancers and other diseases from a single sample [—] In tests, MethylScan detected about 63% of cancers across all stages and roughly 55% of early-stage cancers." (from April) #ShareGoodNewsToo
UCLA researchers develop low-cost blood test to detect multiple cancers and other diseases from a single sampleThe test could offer a more affordable approach to early disease detection.newsroom.ucla.eduFifty years ago today. The first clear image of the surface of Mars ever taken, acquired by the Viking 1 lander in an expansive, flat plain called Chryse Planitia.