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For our mega-survey on populist attitudes, we asked whether people would prefer a more multi-party system or a two-party system. The former blew the latter out of the water. Asked about specific reforms to get there, people are less sure. Also, Trump populists are the most fond of the status quo.

Americans Hate the Two-Party System But Don’t Know What Should Replace It, ISMA Populism Survey FindsVoters overwhelmingly want something different, but don’t know or understand the reform options on the tablewww.theunpopulist.net

Latest at @fiftyplusone.news: We built a dataset tracking every primary endorsement from Trump, progressive groups, party committees, women’s groups, and pro-Israel groups. Halfway through the season, here's who's winning. 🧵 blog.fiftyplusone.news/p/primary-pr...

50+1 is very happy to publish this analysis of 2026 primary candidates from @meredithconroy.bsky.social @tsyang27.bsky.social & Cooper Burton, following the tradition of similar projects from FiveThirtyEight. What types of candidates are winning 2026 primaries? blog.fiftyplusone.news/p/primary-pr...

We tracked every candidate in the 2026 primaries. Here's who voters are nominating.Our original dataset tracks endorsements across every congressional and gubernatorial race to reveal how party leaders and ideological groups are faring.blog.fiftyplusone.news

Trump's ratings on the cost of living have slumped over the last few months. This is all self-inflicted from his tariff obsession and his misadventures in the Middle East. As ever, follow @gelliottmorris.com for the latest data.

Great podcast, great book: "This Is The Plan." Highly recommend.

Republicans largely erasing their party id advantage among Americans without a college degree seems like a finding from the Pew NPORS study that should be getting more attention www.pewresearch.org/politics/fac...

​Every time you turn around, Trump is giving something away to billionaires and taking something away from you

More Trump voters see the One Big Beautiful Bill Act as benefiting the wealthy than substantially helping the working class. (Politico Poll) More, via Opinion Today: opiniontoday.substack.com/p/260728

I recommend five principles: focus on market design (not just event type), scrutinize easily influenced outcomes, evaluate informational value rigorously (sports is low-information event type), consider participant protection, and create a clear path for smaller information-oriented markets

A good question posed here: "Do you want your party to win or the other one to to lose?" I want the other one to lose, period.

New GQR poll of Montana Senate (7/23-26, MoE ±4.4%), shared with @gelliottmorris.com: – in the current 4-way race: Kurt Alme (R) 41, Seth Bodnar (I) 27, Alani Bankhead (D) 22, Kyle Austin (Lib) 6 – In a hypothetical head-to-head, Bodnar leads Alme 50-44 – Bankhead loses a head-to-head 52-44.

To defeat Republicans, Democrats may have to sit some races outAn exclusive poll shared first with Strength In Numbers shows Independent Seth Bodnar in Montana runs ahead of the Democrat in a hypothetical Senate horse-raceopen.substack.com