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This is the problem with the idea that Dems can't go on offense on immigration. It's not okay for Collins to have a clear field on TV to sell herself as a moderate on ICE. CNN has Trump 22 points underwater on this. Two other polls have Ds *tied with the GOP* on it! newrepublic.com/article/2138...

Among many other things this is a good illustration of the necessity of untethering ideology and "fight" in intra-Democratic battles. The party is very united on fight, very divided on ideology. You unite on fight, let different constituencies/states find their center of gravity on ideology.

The Strength In Numbers podcast returns! Join me and @davidnir.com live tomorrow at 2:00 PM Eastern right here to talk about Trump's new all-time low approval rating and the state of the midterms: open.substack.com/live-stream/...

@gelliottmorris.com heya, do you think it could be possible to update your Senate simulator project's default settings following the MN/MI primary elections? It was last updated in April, and between the GCB/polling and recent election outcomes, imo it should get an update.

New @apnews.com poll: “Trump’s overall approval rating is at 33%, slightly below where he stood at this point in his first term and similar to where former President Joe Biden stood about one and a half years into his presidency, when inflation peaked.”

Donald Trump's net approval has reached a new low today in our tracker. His net approval sits at -24.1. The previous low was -23.7, achieved on May 27. fiftyplusone.news/polls/approv...

Roth said he will instead focus his time on trying to help elect other Democrats on the ballot across Idaho.

New CNN poll: 73%, a new high, say Trump is not paying enough attention to the country's most important problems. Views on the war in Iran worsen, as economic issues remain deeply negative. @aedwardslevy.bsky.social has all the details here. www.cnn.com/2026/07/29/p...

Counterpoint. The Cooperative Election Study (CES) asked national samples to place the ideology of every Dem nominee since 2012 on a 1-7 scale. They rated all the Dem nominees at almost the same place on average.

NEW Economist/YouGov Jul 25-27 72% of Independents strongly or somewhat disapprove of Trump's job performance, and only 19% approve — a net approval of -53, his lowest ever At this point in Trump's first term, his net approval among Independents was -5 d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/ec...

I hear all this talk of maxxing, but I took economics, so I know we should be focused on optimizzing

The House Dems who voted to give Trump another blank check faces no consequences or accountability from Hakeem Jeffries and the House Democratic leadership.

I've updated the MRP model Strength In Numbers uses for polling at the state, district, and sub-county levels w a SOTA pipeline that predicts 50/50 states correctly in 2024 + every Senate seat in 2022. Now available to SIN Pro users and enterprise clients www.gelliottmorris.com/p/what-do-vo...