Economist. Ex Prof / central banker. Macro, politics, money, central banks, finance, Brexit, covid, AI, climbing, MUFC, Blueskyism.
I recall we had a period of time where the response of Starmer and Cooper to concerns about these groups was ‘I like flags’
Oxford ClarionLeaders of flag-raising group Raise the Colours Oxfordshire placed trackers on highway workers’ cars to find out their home addresses, the High Court has heard. RTC then attempted to intimidate the highway staff into no longer removing flags by repeating their addresses to them.
I'm sure that when Channel 4 commissioned their new documentary 'The Great ADHD Myth?' they found someone with a lack of bias and a background in showing both sides of the... oh.
You are also, fundamentally, just *not* the Conservative Party any more. You're just a new party wearing its clothes. Yes, the tory party evolves over time but...evolution not revolution, and all that.
Chairman Moëtyou can't build a big enough coalition if Gavin Barwell is too radical for you but an ex-Neo Nazi who broke into a police station isn't
giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/... "The Fed chair likes to praise financial markets, regardless of what they say; does not offer substantive economic explanations; is not overly concerned about logic and consistency" @chrisgiles.ft.com does to Warsh what Emily Wilson did to The Odessey
The Federal Reserve goes WackoWarsh’s Awful Communications: Knowingly Opaque. Also in this newsletter, the BoE shows how it’s donegiftarticle.ft.com
Labour leading Reform in the polls* for the first time in over a year www.bloomberg.com/news/article... *This story is about one poll, from JL Partners, but others from Survation and More in Common have found the same
Labour Leads Reform in UK Poll in Latest Sign of Burnham BoostAndy Burnham’s Labour Party is leading Nigel Farage’s Reform UK for the first time in more than a year, according to a new poll, adding to signs that Britain’s new premier has boosted the standing of ...www.bloomberg.com
1/I've been thinking about this. Potentially, it could be at least 5 different things: (i) An explicit statement of the central bank's policy rule, e.g. blind adherence to a specific Taylor rule with specific parameter values; (ii) every time the central bank takes an action, the person in...
Tony YatesIt has at least two different and specific meanings!
God that's a vicious summation but entirely accurate
Chairman Moëtyou can't build a big enough coalition if Gavin Barwell is too radical for you but an ex-Neo Nazi who broke into a police station isn't
Well, at least he doesn't support Net Zero.
Glen O'HaraCan this really be true? Astonishing if so. If this lasts it's a very bad sign indeed. www.theguardian.com/politics/202...
I found this, from Terence Tao, useful as a way of framing what mathematics is for, what AI is for, and how to evaluate knowledge: teorth.github.io/tao-web/slid...
teorth.github.ioWill RatcliffSo, bluesky, where is the discussion of the absolute insane things AI is doing in the realm of mathematics? It seems like we're nearly at the inflection point where the models are as good as human domain experts, and soon may well be better. Is that discourse only happening on twitter?
Fraser Nelson reckons Rod Liddle was “the greatest satirist since Swift” while Michael Gove is comparing him to not just Swift but Orwell. Amazing the comparisons you can get if you’ll pump out exactly the racist opinions even they are too squeamish to commit to print.
Like all great writers, it's a time to pay tribute to the words they left us with
The NationalBREAKING: Sunday Times and Sun columnist Rod Liddle has died aged 66 after a short illness
Good piece. A thread on some comments I made yesterday on Times Radio. Two things can be true at the same time: 1. It’s very bad to have 60,000 people storm a border, and 70+ deaths. 2. European leaders' responses were opportunistic and disproportionate, and made incidents like this more likely.
Anne ApplebaumVance, Farage and Weidel posted fear-mongering messages about a Spanish migrant crisis that weren't true. They haven't retracted them. www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2026/0...
It is quite strange how little the actual public inquiry we're having into the UK's Covid response - the one that's publishing in-depth reports every few months - factors into the "you're not even allowed to ask these questions" complaints. We are, in fact, officially asking these questions!
‘The greatest arms I’ve ever seen’: Matt Damon’s muscular female stunt double Devyn Dalton
‘The greatest arms I’ve ever seen’: Matt Damon’s muscular female stunt double Devyn DaltonCanadian stuntwoman is only 4ft 6in and stood in for star to make the giant Laestrygonians appear even biggerwww.theguardian.com"Rupert Lowe has done to Farage what Farage did to the Tories: outflanked him from the right and left him with almost no good options."
Rupert Lowe's olive branch to Nigel Farage is actually a trapFor all his talk of unity and reconciliation, Lowe must know he has thrown a grenade into his old adversary’s foxholeinews.co.uk
This is a pretty notable, and welcome, change in rhetoric. Now we need to see if the policy follows
Sunder Katwala (sundersays)"People want to see this issue addressed," Prime Minister Andy Burnham said in Dover, adding: "We also need to build a system that offers safe routes for people as well, because that also takes away the selling point of the gangs." www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
The point on school closures was not just 'open' or 'close', it was also what mitigation and resourcing were provided to systems and to the most vulnerable communities to mitigate educational and developmental harms that we knew would occur. These were not done.
Every time Bash had RFK pinned down, she pivoted to, "but I really want to move on." Corporate media types are absolutely terrified of real confrontation with fascists, preferring instead to put up just enough of a fight to mimic "tough journalism" without doing real damage to their MAGA friends.