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Профиль

James Austin

Профиль Vively

'Fiercely hetrosexual for bluesky' Outdoors. Politics. Sport. Not always in that order. Labour. Trade Unionist. Trying to do community things. Views entirely my own

Just thinking back to this Green leaflet.

Election Maps UK

Greater Manchester Mayoral By-Election Result: 🌹 Craig | LAB: 47.2% ➡️ Astley | RFM: 21.0% 🌍 Coggins | GRN: 12.2% ◼️ West | RES: 8.7% 🌳 Eckersley | CON: 7.7% 🔶 Kilpatrick | LDM: 2.2% 🙋 Farmer | Ind: 0.6% 2nd Round: 🌹 Craig | LAB: 66.3% ➡️ Astley | RFM: 33.7% Labour HOLD.

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I'm just not convinced by this counterfactual at all: 45% of Britons, roughly, still have no view on her! A far bigger factor is Reform/Farage missteps and swinging to the right which has led to a thermostatic improvement in her/Tory ratings. Would have happened with any leader

Luke Tryl

As I say in this thread from our groups and polling I think Badenoch leadership critics ignore the counterfactual of not badenoch when the party could have collapsed entirely. In other words I think she might be inlynthing holding them at ~20%. bsky.app/profile/luke...

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