I'm just not convinced by this counterfactual at all: 45% of Britons, roughly, still have no view on her! A far bigger factor is Reform/Farage missteps and swinging to the right which has led to a thermostatic improvement in her/Tory ratings. Would have happened with any leader
Luke TrylAs I say in this thread from our groups and polling I think Badenoch leadership critics ignore the counterfactual of not badenoch when the party could have collapsed entirely. In other words I think she might be inlynthing holding them at ~20%. bsky.app/profile/luke...