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Bede's World! Bede's World! Party time! Venerable!

My non-fiction debut "We Shall Outlast Them: Putin's Global Campaign to Defeat the West" is out today. It's the result of years of research, travel to a dozen countries, and countless conversations. Thank you @wwnorton.com and everyone who supported me along the way. wwnorton.com/books/978132...

Definitely the case here. In two weeks we find which 9 of 12 in my group will be gone. The other 3 will then have a month to prepare and find hourly-paid replacements for all the classes across two degrees. And supervise 25 PhDs. Plus admin and pastoral care and research. Management doesn’t care.

So it's farewell to the History subject area at the University of Hertfordshire, not the first nor the last to go. One of the best departments in the country, just extinguished like a snap of the fingers. Think of the waste. (1/2)

"Six months in-country, and I'd already seen enough blazers and bow ties to last me a lifetime."

The year is 2028. The strait of Hormuz is still closed. Fuel at the pump is now 10 dollars. The sixth pipeline across the Arabian peninsula has been opened. It got hit by a Shahed-378 the next day. The largest industry in the US is betting when Axios posts that the MoU #37 is close to being signed.

Colby like many other American leaders and analysts is fundamentally Cakeist in assuming that the United States can sustain the same level of authority it had in Europe during the Cold War while contributing far less to European security

Boy I hope this bit from my Gallipoli chapter, which I’m in the middle of writing, isn’t prescient.

Last week, about a third of the History department were able to gather together on graduation day. Rather than lend our intellectual authority to the official procession and ceremony we invited our students to come and celebrate their achievements with us in a shady courtyard. They came. 1/

Flashbacks of the first Trump term and on a positive note: Chaos in the Trump administration seems to have reached a point where it can't even get its disruptive policies implemented.

Some news! As many of you know, I've been a Distinguished Research Fellow at @fpri.bsky.social consulting with @aaronstein1.bsky.social on space and missile defense. Today it gets much better: the whole freaking open-source research team is joining FPRI full time. (1/4)

Fielding a lot of questions about the 123 agreement with the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. Since there are conflicting accounts of what's in it (actual media vs. POTUS' social media) & I haven't seen the actual text, it's tough to comment on anything except the broader principles. Here are 10 thoughts:

The first article of my PhD has been published!!! In it, I offer a framework for understanding situational awareness today. Using a Norwegian case study, I show how situational awareness has adapted to AI, hybrid competition, and shifting alliances. Open access link here: sjms.nu/articles/10....

Situational Awareness in the Third Nuclear Age | Scandinavian Journal of Military Studiessjms.nu

"Grandad, just let them have their moment. Why don't we go over here and have a look at the buffet?"

New podcast at 1400 German time today. Going forward, I'll try to post new episodes at the same time every Friday. Not sure we'll actually make it, but I'll try. Next 6 recordings are already scheduled: Afghanistan, Kim Jong Un, Nukes, Kleptocracy, Blockades, Russia + Global South. Ukraine today.

Result of an insanely unambitious strategy of locking down after going one up. England were never going to hold it. Absurd. Pickford has had to carry England’s entire second half.

you get beheaded in this game and your prize is to face the spanish defense that just disassembled france