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Loooool. Looks like I called it. I mean, if you're Iran, tou know Trump is an idiot who will do whatever he can to exit the conflict and give you everything you want. All you have to do is offer him a way to make it look good to others, and a share of the action. Government by mob boss.

some people you can recruit, other people you have to simply defeat. politics makes more sense when you accept this

Lol I mean looks like it.

Yup. What's funny is that I actually expected Trump to personally profit somehow more from this. Maybe Oman will cut him in on their share. bsky.app/profile/adap...

They do not appear to be giving up control of the Strait- i.e. their main leverage. So this is less "trust" and more "let Trump give in to all their terms and declare victory."

Both. Well, with the caveat that "opening the Strait" seems to mean throttled, restricted passage.

NY Times now reporting Iran has agreed. We'll see how that plays out, particularly with the Israelis.

NY Times now reporting Iran has agreed. We'll see how that plays out, particularly with the Israelis.

bsky.app/profile/adap...

It's not over. He agreed to a ceasefire *if Iran opens the strait*. No mention of Israel also doing a ceasefire. Iran hasn't agreed, because a rational state would probably decline to be bombed by Israel for 2 weeks while giving up their leverage over the Strait under threat.

Thank you. Now please also stop voting for unanimous consent.

bsky.app/profile/adap...

Jesus coming out of the tomb, seeing these, turning around and heading back in.

People don’t wanna put two and two together with what he did to usaid and him putting up those maps of global birthrates and saying white people are being replaced

The anger is justified, yes. And the misdirection of that anger has practical consequences. I've watched it kill activism groups and undermine movements. So it's the part I'm focusing on. That is not to take away from the fact that the anger is very real and justified.

You're right. A healthy dose of empathy would go a long way for everyone. Honestly, my organizer brain is also just frustrated that the anger is (in my view) being wasted here rather than channeled into action elsewhere. And generally the "circular firing squad" effects of misdirected anger.

I don't disagree. At the same time, I put the onus on the person replying to wait on wishing harm to someone until they're *certain* of their interpretation. The responsibility lies with the person assuming bad faith to prove why bad faith exists.

Right, but the parenthetical doesn't mean what people seem to believe it means. bsky.app/profile/vimo...

Gotta appreciate the AI State Seals. Just seem to be like, an average of the seals they find online.

Oh nice we got this for "California"