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acemaxx analytics

#FX The #yen surged by more than 3% against the US dollar, marking its biggest jump since Dec 2023 and stoking speculation that #Japanese officials again intervened in the market, chart @bloomberg.com www.bloomberg.com/news/article...

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1 прямых ответов · 2 сообщений

acemaxx analytics

(my two cents) 3 indicators will determine whether this intervention has lasting traction: 1) The size of the #intervention, 2) U.S.– #Japan interest-rate differentials. If U.S. yields remain well above Japanese yields, #carrytrade incentives will persist and 3) Future #BoJ policy.

Ответ для acemaxx analytics
acemaxx analytics

Further rate increases or stronger guidance would reinforce the intervention. Without that support, history suggests the #yen could gradually come under pressure again.