Political Scientist. Author of “Political Choice in a Polarized America” @OUP. Dad. Sauna enthusiast. Crossword solver. Powerlifter. Cyclist. ✡️ ∞ Views are mine alone. RT!=endorsement
1946
Josh ZingherAfter a slight polling bump, we've had a series of completely brutal polls for Trump over the past week. He's currently sitting at 36.5%/60.5% per FiftyPlusOne. If this holds, it will be the lowest approval for a president heading into a Midterm since Truman in 1946!
Let's see how the 1946 midterm went for Truman and the Dems... Yeah. Seems pretty bad when the incumbent has really low approval. * bear in mind that due to polarization over time, things being THIS good is rather unlikely. but they should still be very good.
Josh ZingherAfter a slight polling bump, we've had a series of completely brutal polls for Trump over the past week. He's currently sitting at 36.5%/60.5% per FiftyPlusOne. If this holds, it will be the lowest approval for a president heading into a Midterm since Truman in 1946!
As @jonathanbernstein.bsky.social said yesterday:
Christopher WebbSome really encouraging Senate polls… 📍Georgia 🔵 Jon Ossoff: 56% 🔴 Mike Collins: 43% 📍North Carolina 🔵 Roy Cooper: 53% 🔴 Michael Whatley: 44% 📍Ohio 🔵 Sherrod Brown: 53% 🔴 Jon Husted: 45% 📍Iowa 🔵 Josh Turek: 50% 🔴 Ashley Hinson: 46% Keep organizing. Keep fighting.
People will point out that the generic ballot isn't as pro-Dem as one might expect given Trump approval, but i strongly suspect 1) people will break towards the Dems in the end given their disapproval of Trump, and 2.) Dems will enjoy a *big* turnout advantage given their engaged, educated base.
After a slight polling bump, we've had a series of completely brutal polls for Trump over the past week. He's currently sitting at 36.5%/60.5% per FiftyPlusOne. If this holds, it will be the lowest approval for a president heading into a Midterm since Truman in 1946!
People hate when you integrate AND resegregate the army, what gives
Josh ZingherAfter a slight polling bump, we've had a series of completely brutal polls for Trump over the past week. He's currently sitting at 36.5%/60.5% per FiftyPlusOne. If this holds, it will be the lowest approval for a president heading into a Midterm since Truman in 1946!
Lots of plausible outcomes in November, but people are still underestimating the chances of a massive Dem landslide.
Josh ZingherAfter a slight polling bump, we've had a series of completely brutal polls for Trump over the past week. He's currently sitting at 36.5%/60.5% per FiftyPlusOne. If this holds, it will be the lowest approval for a president heading into a Midterm since Truman in 1946!
Authoritarian societies are sometimes quite good at the technical aspects of scientific advancement (the USSR, for example, had many achievements) but are absolutely awful at incorporating these types of technical advancements in ways that push society forward. Musk is a great example of why. 1/3
Taylor NoakesWords cannot describe how much I despise this person’s contempt for how hard real scientists work It’s the kind of attitude you can only get from inheriting a fortune from an Apartheid era emerald mine finance.yahoo.com/sectors/heal...
There is no way to come back from this that doesn't involve a whole bunch of people going to prison for a very long time. This is a half step from declaring domestic groups "terrorists" and using the military to unilaterally kill them. This shit is incredibly anti-American/rule of law/Constitutional
Matthew Hay Brown67 boat strikes 221 people killed EXCLUSIVE: Operation Southern Spear has not reduced the volume, availability, purity or price of cocaine arriving in the U.S., according to an internal DEA assessment and a closed-door Pentagon briefing for senators, and has made enforcement more difficult
But impeachment is just a distraction, most Americans just care about ‘affordability’, and a third of the electorate wants more of these crimes.
Josh ZingherThere is no way to come back from this that doesn't involve a whole bunch of people going to prison for a very long time. This is a half step from declaring domestic groups "terrorists" and using the military to unilaterally kill them. This shit is incredibly anti-American/rule of law/Constitutional
People have debated the nature of the vibecession and why economic mood is more pessimistic than the traditional indicators would suggest. I think an underrated part of the story is being gaslight constantly about how our major recent innovations, crypto, sports betting, and AI are advancements. 1/x