Geez, July rainfall in Southern/SE Australia just can’t recover from the millennium drought… July 2026 yet again drier than average…
Профиль
Andrew B. Watkins
Профиль VivelyAustralian climate scientist rambling about climate drivers, variability, risks, trends & impacts. Once played goalie for Antarctica. Born @ 325ppm. https://www.linkedin.com/in/drandrewwatkins/
The first fire-related finding of the parliamentary inquiry into the 2026 Victorian bushfires. [However the National Climate Risk Assessment was not mentioned.] www.parliament.vic.gov.au/4a24fb/conte...
The UK Environment Agency declares ‘Flash Drought’ in the UK - a very rapid drying of the landscape due to low rainfall and high temperatures & evaporation. Flash drought is an emerging problem in Australia and the US, incredible to hear it mentioned in the UK. #newclimate
Ian HallMore than half of England officially in drought, the Environment Agency says England received just 7% of expected rainfall in July and only 1% in the south. Notably, the news report makes no explicit mention of climate change. Come on, @bbcnewsunofficial.bsky.social www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
Me talking about Antarctic sea ice and climate change way back in 1995! On ABC-TV, Tim Bowden 'Breaking the Ice" documentary. www.youtube.com/watch?v=oD5D...
Breaking The Ice with Tim Bowden - Episode 2 - 1996 Australian TV ProgramYouTube video by mubd1234's Aussie Media Archivewww.youtube.comFrance is looking very bad in terms of cumulative burnt area - way above both average and past maximum area burned for this time according to the Copernicus Euro Forest Fire Information System forest-fire.emergency.copernicus.eu Country stats: forest-fire.emergency.copernicus.eu/apps/effis.s...
Zeke HausfatherFires in France have now burned over 91,000 acres, by far the most of any year since the satellite record started in 2006. Current area burned is about 34x larger than this date in a typical (median) year:
"Canada’s 2023 wildfire smoke caused a 2.8 percent drop in solar power generation, costing two billion dollars" A new reason to have a state/community/home battery system to adapt to climate risk. www.nature.com/articles/s43...
Canada’s 2023 wildfire smoke caused a 2.8 percent drop in solar power generation, costing two billion dollars - Communications Earth & EnvironmentWildfire smoke caused a 6.38 ± 8.86 terawatt hour solar power loss (2.8 percent) and about 1.88-billion-dollar cost, according to an Earth system model comparing simulations with and without wildfire ...www.nature.comCrikey! rNino34 almost 2° already, just shy of ‘strong’ criteria. Typically Nino indices peak in Nov/Dec - more warming to come. www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso...
IMHO: Sport, recreation and the arts should be included in any systems based approach to climate risk assessment. “This is the third stage of the Tour [de France] to be subjected to prefecture intervention, due to wildfires or a heatwave, in this year’s race." www.theguardian.com/sport/2026/j...
Time to update the sea surface temperature anomaly maps for the strong El Nino events 1982, 1997, 2015 and 2026. Over 90% of the excess heat from global warming goes into the ocean, making each El Nino world hotter than the last. climatereanalyzer.org/clim/daily_m...
Andrew B. WatkinsNotice anything different between the 1 June sea surface temperature maps for the strong El Nino's in 1982, 1997, 2015 and 2026? climatereanalyzer.org/clim/daily_m...
Me talking again about Australian snow and climate change www.sbs.com.au/news/article...
Australia’s winter wonderland is becoming increasingly reliant on a backup planAn unpredictable season is testing the measures resorts rely on when the snow does not arrive as hoped.www.sbs.com.auMeanwhile... One of Australia’s large air tankers has been on the US west coast fighting their wildfires and we've now sent almost 70 fire fighting personnel.
Guardian AustraliaDonald Trump hits Australian exports to US with new higher trade tariff over claims of ‘forced labour’
Aviation contrails with a strong global warming impact mostly form in thin 'cold & humid' parts of the atmosphere. If planes take a short detour to avoid them = much less global warming from aviation. Fantastic article by @hannahritchie.bsky.social hannahritchie.substack.com/p/eliminatin...
"Many climate models predict that human-caused global warming is likely to drive ENSO to a new average state this century, with El Niños becoming larger & occuring more often. But researchers ...debate whether they’ve seen that pattern begin to emerge in the climate data yet" doi.org/10.1038/d415...
This El Niño is set to be the largest on record by a ‘mind-blowing margin’Forecasters predict that the monster climate pattern will combine with global warming to push global temperatures in 2027 to new heights.www.nature.comGlobal temperature is now 2nd hottest on record 0.06C below the warmest year (2024). The last week of July is the globes hottest week of the year, hence 2026 could set the world's hottest day on record. (Worlds hottest day 17.16 degC on 22 July 2024; current value 17.03C) pulse.climate.copernicus.eu
Speaking this morning with Nic Healy on ABC Statewide on the snow season, El Nino, Climate Change, temperature inversions and teaching the daughter's boyfriend to ski! From 1:19 mark of www.abc.net.au/listen/progr...
Mornings - ABC listenConversations about what matters to you, as we tour regional Victoria and southern NSW.www.abc.net.auWith some comments from me…
Guardian AustraliaAustralian ski resorts smash July climate records with temperatures 12C above average
If not for the rain on 2 July, this would be a *very* dry map for NSW too Latest El Nino values rNino34 +1.74 (!!) and SOI -30 (!!) both pretty dam crazy strong values, even compared to past El Nino peak values which occur in Nov/Dec. www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso... www.bom.gov.au/climate/maps...
One thing also to note with current SE Aus weather is how dry the air is. Today Mt Hotham has dew point temperatures of -20C to -23 (so need to cool air to -20 or less for dew to form), and around 15% humidity at ~3C... a wet bulb of -2 or less. www.bom.gov.au/products/IDV...
Dome C near Concordia Station in Antarctica has recently been into the -80s degree celcius range, with reports of a minimum of -84.1 C on 18 July. Done C is 1100km inland from Australia's Davis station, up on the ice sheet at 3200m (10,000ft) elevation amrdc.ssec.wisc.edu/web_products...
Oh this is just peachy. Elevated CO2 levels may cause changes in human chemistry beyond healthy levels in as little as 50 years. (ie Burning oil coal and gas will eventually make our bodies toxic) link.springer.com/article/10.1...
Carbon dioxide overload, detected in human blood, suggests a potentially toxic atmosphere within 50 years - Air Quality, Atmosphere & HealthAnthropogenic activities are increasing the amount of carbon dioxide (CO2) in the atmosphere. There is mounting experimental evidence that lifetime exposure to these increasing atmospheric CO2 levels ...link.springer.comᵀᴴᴱꀤNGᒪOᖇIOᑌᔕ¹I've been saying for some time that Earth has ways of dealing with things and events that alter equilibrium. High atmospheric CO2 will cause bicarbonate concentrations in the human body to hit toxic levels in approximately 50 years. link.springer.com/article/10.1...