Political Science Professor at University of Oslo. Working on political violence, war, democracy and autocracy. Visiting 24-25 Nuffield College & DPIR Oxford University.
LLMs can accurately predict the results of social science experiments Across 70 preregistered studies, there was a very strong correlation (r=.85) between LLM-predicted results and observed effects in actual experiments. www.nature.com/articles/s41...
Host the anti-world cup in Avignon, you cowards.
Sky NewsEuropean nations agree to boycott World Cup if FIFA goes ahead with World Cup sell-off
Waiting for the Bluesky take that casts Infantino as the anti-colonial hero ranged against the dastardly imperialists of UEFA
The Aug. issue of @cpsjournal.bsky.social is out and our article on support coalitions and regime survival is in it: Larger & more diverse coalitions correspond to longer-lived regimes @sirianned.bsky.social @magnusrasmussen.bsky.social @torewig.bsky.social journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
Who Rules? Support Coalitions and Regime Survival, 1789–2020 - Carl Henrik Knutsen, Sirianne Dahlum, Magnus Bergli Rasmussen, Tore Wig, 2026All political regimes rely on coalitions of supporters to govern and remain in power. We discuss, specify, and test arguments pertaining to how the numerical si...journals.sagepub.com
I don’t care much about football but I still hope the right result happens tonight
What a fitting end for Neymar…shit talking the goalkeeper who won the game for his team while you score a consolation penalty
This is a great project with a great PI with the opportunity to get great colleagues in a great city which has great frozen pizzas and great brown cheese and has great weather all year around
Tore WigWe're hiring 2 postdocs at @uio.no on my ERC-Cog project on how authoritarian regimes shape scientific knowledge. 3–4 years, U. of Oslo. Deadline: 10 Sept 2026. Great dept., terms, well funded, bustling & green Scandi capital. Apply! 👉 jobbnorge.no/en/available-jobs/job/303060/postdoctoral-fello
Jeg er enig i alt som @torewig.bsky.social skriver her. Politikerne har ikke satt seg inn i tematikken, venstresiden har lagt KI for hat, mens høyresiden lever fint med amerikanske løsninger. Alle ser ut til å håpe at det bare går over eller går seg til www.morgenbladet.no/ideer/norsk-...
(+) Norsk KI-politikk er skremmende naiv. Norske KI-eksperter er nærsynte og arroganteVi må lage planer som også tar høyde for de mest dramatiske scenarioene, og handle politisk som om KI kan skape denne typen strategiske utfordringer for Norge.www.morgenbladet.no
PRIO is hiring a new Executive Assistant, This is a role that sits at the heart of our leadership, and is involved with most aspects of management. You will work closely with me - not sure if that is a boon or a curse - but there is room to shape how the role evolves www.prio.org/about/career...
Executive Assistant to the Director – Peace Research Institute Oslo (PRIO)Are you interested in academic research and enjoy working in an international environment? If you are also committed to quality and are a service minde ...www.prio.org
AI-powered mental health apps are all the rage. But do they work? This new experiment on women in Mexico says they do!
Why I don't expect liberal democracy to go away any time soon: My article on the resilience of liberal democracy, published in @jeppjournal.bsky.social. Perfectly timed to the day after Orbáns defeat and a small spike in "democracy-optimism". There are, I argue, good reasons for such optimism.
@au.dk is hiring 3 postdocs (2 yrs) on personality cults & strategic communication in autocracies, led by Jakob Tolstrup & Alexander Baturo. They're looking for profiles with text-as-data, survey experiments and/or Chinese politics experience. Start fall 2026. Looks like a great opportunity!
Three 2-year Postdoctoral positions at Aarhus University: Projects on personality cults and strategic communication in autocracies - Vacancy at Aarhus UniversityVacancy at Department of Political Science, Aarhus Universityinternational.au.dk
I'm very excited that you all can now read about Itinerant Rule in the Holy Roman Empire from 919-1519 in the @ajpseditor.bsky.social! Thank you @claranw.bsky.social, @andrejkokkonen.bsky.social and Jørgen Møller for a great collaboration! onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
The next US president is either Diocletian tier competent or we're gonna be on the market for a new global hegemon.
Genuinely just bonkers to watch the USA do this to one of the most successful and innovative hubs of scientific research the world has ever seen. All those years of Free Speech On Campus debates and it turns out they actually wanted less cancer research. Absurd.
Jeremy BergNSF Update through March 13, 2026 1/2
Jeg havde ret. Følg med her på kanalen for andre skarpe analyser. For eksempel forudsiger jeg, at hverken Franciska Rosenkilde eller Lars Boje bliver statsminister efter folketingsvalget.
Trump administration underestimated Iran war’s impact on Strait of Hormuz | CNN PoliticsThe Pentagon and National Security Council significantly underestimated Iran’s willingness to close the Strait of Hormuz in response to US military strikes while planning the ongoing operation, accord...edition.cnn.com𝙅𝙖𝙘🍩𝙗 𝙉𝙮𝙧𝙪𝙥Jeg tror sku ikke, at Trump har gennemtænkt det her.
In the year of our lord, 2026, an academic journal has gone from accepting .tex file submissions, to only accepting word documents... (Between an original and R&R submission 🤬).
1/US unprepared for key Iranian strategy -- target key hubs of the global economy. Put pressure on allies and markets to turn interdependence into a weapon. Rather than an alternative to war, economic nodes are being used as a key tactic to degrade political support. www.euronews.com/business/202...
Why blocking Hormuz could threaten the world's food supplyWhile most of the world is focused on the impact of oil disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, the current blockade could also pose long-term risks to the global food supply.www.euronews.com
