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I think there will be repercussions in that case, when we calculate change in win expectancy in another part of the app

It should all be 100%... it's a bug, and I'll get that fixed

7.3% chance of winning, making the grand slam by Clemens a +0.927 WPA, the highest possible gain for a single pitch/swing

Agreed! You can keep them separate, but the default should merge them. And the user can split them if they want

New post: I wanted to figure out the best NHL team in the salary-cap era to not get a single Hart Trophy vote. Then I found something kind of weird... www.nytimes.com/athletic/747...

What’s the best NHL team in the salary-cap era to not get a single Hart Trophy vote? (Gift Article)We found something weird while trying to find the best team in the cap era that was completely shut out of the Hart love.www.nytimes.com

Yeah, alot of what we think are as "pure" stats are really timing + location stats

Nice graphic, easy to understand and remember

Blog Post: Swing Timing: Perfect v Flawed tangotiger.com/index.php/si...

whoah, fascinating! baseballsavant.mlb.com/leaderboard/...

Related post from our friend @swingsandtakes.com www.lookoutlanding.com/2025/5/8/244...

The batter’s eye at T-Mobile Park: a new perspectiveWhen you stare into the batter’s eye in Seattle, something unfamiliar stares back.www.lookoutlanding.com

BB v SO Park Factors, 2025-26 There was plenty of discussion on T-Mobile Park being really tough on batter, whether it was batter's eye or sun or whatnot Sutter is by far the friendliest to batters for BB+SO. Looking forward to #AspiringSaberist baseballsavant.mlb.com/leaderboard/...

Good breakdown by Matt, looking at the tools aspect I thought this was interesting, that Nico's low BA in May can be explained, at least in part, that the opposing fielders did well. This had an impact of 54 points on his May BA

League Average wOBA on batted balls is .380: need launch speed of 97+ to be above average Including BB+SO, league wOBA is .320: happens at 95+. Thats why hard hit is 95+ Under 90 mph averages .210, and is fairly flat: 40 = 60 = 80 = 90. Thats why we dont average launch speed

If you want to know what is FB launch angle and Line Drive launch angle, focus on HR rates, hit rates Ten years ago in 2016, I settled on 28 degrees +/- 8 for FB and 12 +/- 8 for LD Below is 2025 data, and it still holds well cc: @dialofdestiny.bsky.social baseballsavant.mlb.com/statcast_hit...

Ted did it while missing his years 25-27 seasons.

I've long considered Juan Soto as the most genius batter of our generation. We may need to extend this to one of the most genius batters in history of baseball What I like about stat from Sarah is it highlights players of past: We know about Ted, but maybe we dont appreciate Mick and Foxx enough?

Top 5 defensive OF per Statcast 2025: Rafaela, PCA, Young, Scott, Pages 2026: PCA, Rafaela, Young, Pages, T. Peters That's pretty cool. Basically the same guys, and Scott is off because his bat got him demoted.

If only playoffs counted for something other than exhibition...

I think I googled Bill James sabermetrics

Well @noelrappin.com has decided to revive Win Shares, with terrific title: "The Triumphant Return of a Thing Nobody Will Care About" Those who have followed me from 25 years ago know all the problems I have enumerated with Win Shares, and Ive shared those with Bill noelrappin.com/2026/06/the-...

The Triumphant Return of a Thing Nobody Will Care AboutIn 2002, Bill James created Win Shares, a baseball super-statistic. In 2026, I, perhaps, unwisely, decided to calculate it myself.noelrappin.com