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Профиль
Koichi Osamura
Профиль Vively👨🏻🔬 PhD candidate in political science at @stawi-univie.bsky.social 👨🏻🏫 Lecturer of comparative politics at @univie.ac.at 🕵🏻♂️ Coalitions, legislative behavior, party competition 🔎 South America, Europe, and Japan 🏠 osamura.org
⟳ Репост от Koichi Osamura
This utter muppet of a conservative Canadian politician in New Brunswick forgot to remove the LLM text from his floor speech and read it out loud.
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Very belatedly sharing this because the last months were busy: The limits of appraisal theory for political emotions is out in Political Psychology! @gijsschumacher.bsky.social, @mrooduijn.bsky.social and I ask whether appraisal theories of emotion work the same way in politics as in everyday life.
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„Forschung ist kein Selbstzweck. Forschung muss zu Wertschöpfung, Produktion und Innovation in Deutschland und in Europa führen“, so der @bundeskanzler. Die Wissenschaftsfreiheit, wie sie Art. 5 Abs. 3 GG und das Bundesverfassungsgericht verstehen, setzt einen anderen Maßstab. 🧵 1/n
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How do school visits by politicians effect students' attitudes towards politicians and democracy? 🏫 A recent pre-post survey finds significant improvements in their image of politicians, internal/external efficacy, as well as knowledge and interest. 📈 Read the study recap:
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Trump has not ruined international football. FIFA has. For decades. Yes, the bluntness of Trump is mindblowing but this is FIFA business as usual. Not only in autocracies. Look at the massive corruption in how Germany became host of the 2006 World Cup. An event we still refer to as Sommermärchen.
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Now out: journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
What do citizens imagine their political opponents to be like? Polarization is real, but it also lives in our heads, fueled by stereotypes. We asked people in 🇧🇷, 🇬🇧, 🇩🇪 & 🇵🇱 to describe opponents in their own words. With @jnareal.bsky.social, @markuswagner.bsky.social & @piotrmarczynski.bsky.social 👇
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I'm drawing a daily doodle for July, feel free to drop suggestions. Here's day one: worryo
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Excited to share our new paper in @thejop.bsky.social with @krausewe.bsky.social! Parties polling just below an electoral threshold are far less likely to clear it: a self-fulfilling prophecy that diminishes when polls communicate uncertainty. 🗳️📊 www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...
Werner KrauseNew paper out in the @thejop.bsky.social (w/ @christinagahn.bsky.social) Do opinion polls shape election results? Using both cross-national data and a survey experiment, the answer we find is yes - though it depends on how we communicate polling results. www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...
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This builds on our earlier work in @ejprjournal.bsky.social, where we showed that margins of error shape vote choices at the top of the race. Now we find the same is true at electoral thresholds. Polls & their communication matter throughout the ballot. 👇🏁 doi.org/10.1111/1475...
Werner Krause1/4 New article at EJPR! @ChristinaGahn & I explore the impact of displaying margins of error (MoE) in public opinion polls on citizens' voting intentions. We use a vignette experiment with > 3000 respondents in Germany. Paper (Open Access): tinyurl.com/y28fvfk8 polisky commsky polcom
⟳ Репост от Koichi Osamura
New paper out in the @thejop.bsky.social (w/ @christinagahn.bsky.social) Do opinion polls shape election results? Using both cross-national data and a survey experiment, the answer we find is yes - though it depends on how we communicate polling results. www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...
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Pastor Sergeant Isidório, an incumbent Brazilian MP, publicly apologized for mistakenly voting against a bill to reduce working hours during a committee session. The catch is that he couldn't have voted anyway, as he was only an replacement member.
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2,5 Milliarden weniger für die Universitäten 🤯 Entspricht inflationsbereinigt einem Personalabbau von bis zu 20% der Beschäftigten Proteste am 27./28. Mai 2026 in Wien, Linz, Graz, Salzburg, Klagenfurt + Innsbruck geplant unigewerkschaft-bv13.goed.at @nuwiss.bsky.social #IchBinHanna #UnisRetten
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"Bei 5,1 Milliarden, die im Budget hin- und hergeschoben werden, sind 2,5 Milliarden Euro, die von den Unis genommen werden, mehr als unverhältnismäßig", sagt der Rektor der Universität Wien. www.derstandard.at/story/300000...
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Upcoming Guest Talk! 🎤 We are happy to announce that Christoffer Green-Pedersen will be holding a talk on the topic "Coalition Voting in Comparative Perspective: Under What Circumstance do Voters take Coalitions into Account?" on 1st of June.
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🎯 New paper alert! It includes the main theoretical & empirical contribution of my dissertation: disentangling targeting and tailoring in political social media advertising. Really happy @meinungsfuehrer.bsky.social and I found such a great home for it 🏠 Open Access 👉 doi.org/10.1080/1369... 1/4
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My first paper is out! Co-authored with @falkscheidig.bsky.social doi.org/10.1093/pa/g...
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🚨 New Article in Politics and Governance When Populists Win but Are Excluded From Power: Explaining Post‐Electoral Dynamics of Democratic Satisfaction By @schnizzl.bsky.social and S. Kritzinger 🔗 Open access: doi.org/10.17645/pag... 🧵 1/6 #Polisky
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🚨 Western democracies are often described as polarized. @katharinalawall.bsky.social, @mtsakiris.bsky.social + I study how polarization actually feels. Now published in @ejprjournal.bsky.social, we asked citizens in 5 European countries to report their emotions ⬇️ www.cambridge.org/core/journal...