Doctoral Research Fellow at the Oslo Nuclear Project, University of Oslo. Defense policy, missile technology, and nuclear strategy. Weekly analysis of missile tech, nuclear strategy, and European deterrence 👇 https://missilematters.substack.com/subscribe
🚀 A few days ago, Missile Matters passed 10,000 subscribers. Today I published a post announcing the biggest change since the blog began: Missile Matters now offers a paid subscription tier. Short summary below. missilematters.substack.com/p/10000-subs... 1/5
10,000 Subscribers and a New Chapter: Missile Matters Adds a Paid TierMissile Matters is launching paid subscriptions. Much of the blog stays free. Here is what changes and why.missilematters.substack.com🚀 New Missile Matters post on how Ukraine's deep-strike campaign has transformed the Ukrainian state itself. In short: the state makes the missile, and the missile makes the state. Short summary below. missilematters.substack.com/p/the-state-... 1/5
The State Makes the Missile, and the Missile Makes the StateThe power to hurt: Ukraine's deep-strike campaign and the transformation of the Ukrainian statemissilematters.substack.com"The state that enters those talks differs in important respects from the state Russia invaded in 2022: a missile power in its own right, retaining the power to hurt. Russia will be negotiating with the missile on the table and state the missile made." missilematters.substack.com/p/the-state-...
The State Makes the Missile, and the Missile Makes the StateThe power to hurt: Ukraine's deep-strike campaign and the transformation of the Ukrainian statemissilematters.substack.comI have serious doubts that this is a worthwhile investment for Germany. As I have mentioned before, I think Trump originally did the Germans a solid by not selling the system, forcing them to look for solutions on the European market. www.tagesschau.de/inland/innen... 1/2
Einigung mit den USA: Deutschland kauft "Tomahawk"-MarschflugkörperDie Einigung mit den USA verkündet Kanzler Merz in seiner Regierungserklärung. Washington hat dem Verkauf von "Tomahawk"-Marschflugkörpern an Deutschland zugestimmt.www.tagesschau.de🚀 New Missile Matters post out, reviewing Ukraine's Flamingo cruise missile strike on the Titan-Barrikady plant and situating it within Flamingo's emerging strike history Access the post here: missilematters.substack.com/p/is-the-fp-... Short summary below. 1/5
Is the FP-5 Flamingo Cruise Missile Starting to Deliver? Evidence from Ten Confirmed StrikesRecent Flamingo strikes may indicate improved performance of the Ukrainian heavy cruise missilemissilematters.substack.comI'll publish a new Missile Matters post on the operational history of the Flamingo tomorrow morning. But what stands out is that, so far, Ukraine does not seem to intend on using the Flamingo to strike oil and gas infrastructure, instead relying on long-range drones for that task. 1/3
Meanwhile in UkraineUkraine just reached Russia’s biggest refinery in Siberia. ㅤ Omsk is almost 2,500 km from Ukraine’s border. Ukraine’s General Staff said Special Operations Forces struck the refinery — a key fuel hub for Russia’s war machine. ㅤ Distance is no longer protection. Support link is in our Bio.
🚀 New Missile Matters post on the emerging ballistic missile defense market in Europe, prompted by Frankenburg Technologies' announcement that it is seeking 100 million euros to develop a Patriot-competitive system. Link: missilematters.substack.com/p/the-last-f... Short summary below. 1/5
The Last Frontier: European Manufacturers Move Ahead on Ballistic Missile DefenseAfter FirePoint, Estonian missile house Frankenburg Technologies seeks to enter the ballistic missile defense marketmissilematters.substack.com🚀 I just published my latest Missile Matters post assessing Russia's growing air and missile defense problem. Russia is now experiencing the same interceptor scarcity that has long plagued Ukraine. Access the post here: missilematters.substack.com/p/missile-de... Short summary below. 1/5
Missile Defense's Unforgiving Logic Comes Back to Haunt RussiaUkrainian long-range drone attacks expose a deepening air defense shortagemissilematters.substack.comIn all honesty, the US would be doing Germany a favor. The Tomahawk Block Vb, the variant under discussion, will not enter service with the U.S. fleet before 2028, more likely 2029. Germany, as an export partner, would likely have to wait longer still. 1/3 www.politico.com/news/2026/06...
Pentagon likely to cancel missile deal with Germany over fears of RussiaThe decision is part of a broader American retrenchment from the NATO alliance.www.politico.com🚀 I just published a new Missile Matters post assessing Russian conventional ballistic missile production rates, focusing on the 9M723 Iskander-M and the Kh-47M2 Kinzhal. Access the post here: missilematters.substack.com/p/how-many-c... Short summary below. 1/5
How Many Ballistic Missiles Is Russia Producing?Assessing 9M723 Iskander-M and Kh-47M2 Kinzhal output against employment datamissilematters.substack.com🚀 New Missile Matters post on the Department of War's framework agreements for 10,000+ low-cost cruise missiles and 12,000 low-cost hypersonic missiles — and what they reveal about the U.S. missile industrial base. missilematters.substack.com/p/the-united... Summary below. 1/5
The United States is Betting Big on Affordable MissilesFour mini cruise missiles and one low-cost aeroballistic missile now feature prominetnly in the U.S. missile industrial ramp-upmissilematters.substack.com