I cover elections at The Writ (http://thewrit.ca), The Numbers (http://thenumberspod.ca) and Les chiffres (http://leschiffres.ca) Follow me on YouTube: http://youtube.com/@TheWrit
A deep dive into the three byelections, and why the Carney majority is NOT at stake on Aug. 31. www.thewrit.ca/p/weekly-wri...
Weekly Writ 7/30: Liberal majority not at stake in byelections, not yet (and not likely soon)The trio of byelections will not impact Mark Carney's majority.www.thewrit.ca
⭐️In this special episode of The Numbers, @ericgrenier.bsky.social turned the tables and quizzed me on a mix of... space and politics. It was tons of fun. 🪐Listen → thenumberspod.ca/posts/when-p... 🔭Watch → thenumberspod.ca/posts/when-p...
I take a look at the what the polls say about Canadians' perceptions of the US, their attitude toward new negotiations, and who they trust to handle Trump: www.thewrit.ca/p/weekly-wri...
Weekly Writ 7/23: Carney, Trump and tariffsMore than a year after Trump's first tariff threats, Canadians still want to put up a fight.www.thewrit.caOn average (and taking into account potential polling errors and the number of toss-ups), the Liberals win 196 seats, with 114 going to the Conservatives, 20 to the Bloc, 12 to the NDP and one to the Greens. www.thewrit.ca/p/liberals-l...
Liberals lead by nine in projection updateFederal Projection Update for July 21, 2026.www.thewrit.caOne poll and one byelection later, could the Greens actually be the favourites to win government in PEI next year? www.thewrit.ca/p/weekly-wri...
Weekly Writ 7/16: Could the Greens make a run at government in PEI?Plus another poll in Nova Scotia adds to the confusion.www.thewrit.caNot much new data to work with, but what is out there puts the Liberals down to their lowest level since February in the projection. I delve into what's behind it. Is it a blip or a trend? www.thewrit.ca/p/tracking-p...
Tracking polls push Liberals to lowest level since FebruaryFederal Projection Update for July 14, 2026.www.thewrit.caThe appointment of Conservative MP Richard Martel to the Senate means there will be a byelection in Chicoutimi-Le Fjord. Can the Liberals (or Bloc) flip it, or will the Conservatives be able to hold? www.thewrit.ca/p/can-the-li...
Can the Liberals flip Chicoutimi—Le Fjord?Federal Projection Update for July 7, 2026.www.thewrit.caWhere have the biggest shifts occurred since Canada Day one year ago? I take a look at the numbers in this week's projection update: www.thewrit.ca/p/polls-give...
Polls give Liberals reason to celebrate on Canada DayFederal Projection Update for June 30, 2026.www.thewrit.caNew episode of The Numbers, all the ways to watch or listen here: www.thewrit.ca/p/the-number...
The Numbers: Will it be a cruel summer for Carney or Poilievre?We break down a flurry of polls to kick off the season.www.thewrit.caAre the polls showing a reversion to the mean for the Liberals? That and much more in this edition of the Weekly Writ: www.thewrit.ca/p/weekly-wri...
Weekly Writ 6/25: Has the Liberal polling pendulum swung back?After a dip, polls suggest the numbers might be swinging back for the Liberals.www.thewrit.caBritish Columbia has bucked some of the broader national trends. What's up with that? www.thewrit.ca/p/the-conser...
The Conservatives' B.C. problemFederal Projection Update for June 23, 2026.www.thewrit.caThe House has adjourned for the summer. Who performed best during the spring sitting? What the polls say: www.thewrit.ca/p/weekly-wri...
Weekly Writ 6/18: Who won the House sitting?The Liberals and NDP are higher in the polls than they were in January. The Conservatives, not so much.www.thewrit.caFive seats will be up for grabs in byelections later this year. I take a look at where these five ridings sit in this week's projection update: www.thewrit.ca/p/which-part...
Which party is the favourite in the upcoming vacancies?Federal Projection Update for June 9, 2026.www.thewrit.ca