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E.J. Fagan

Профиль Vively

Associate Professor of Political Science, University of Illinois Chicago. Author of The Thinkers: The Rise of Partisan Think Tanks and the Polarization of American Politics. Also, baseball.

I/Claude created a polling average tracker of high quality polls using a variety of methodologies. Ignores A/RV/LV differences. Whether you think 2026 will be a bad for cataclysmic year for Republicans depends entirely on polling. methodology. Topline: Approval 37.6%. Generic ballot at D+6.3 1/

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I think Republicans are grossly underestimating the appetite that Democrats will have for revenge in 2029. And a lot of them just gerrymandered away their best advocates within a Democratic government.

Murshed Zaheed

“Trump has rejected disaster aid for Democratic-run states at the highest rate in the 47-year history of the Federal Emergency Management Agency.” Right now people in blue states are basically paying federal taxes as if they’re colonized territories of red states. www.politico.com/news/2026/03...

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I don’t know enough about modern sampling methodology to have much of an opinion but I will note: Quinnipiac uses old fashioned random digit dialing with human interviewers. CNN’s survey uses a high quality online panel. Both just found Trump’s approval at a record low. Iran War restart is going bad

Josh Marshall

Trump down to 32% approval in new Q poll. poll.qu.edu/poll-release...

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CNN poll series: Does the president have the right priorities or has he not paid enough attention to the most important problem? Trump’s overall approve hit a new low at 34%, but is down just a few points this year. Much bigger decline on priories. Voters notice that he doesn’t care about inflation

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Okay everyone, use the words "Artificial Intelligence" ten thousand times in your proposals now. Anything to give the program officers some cover.

Dan Garisto

White House science policy captured headlines this week, with the announcement of awards for its flagship AI program, Congressional hearings, and a Vannevar Bush-esque report "Science: A New Golden Age." We fashioned the news into one big story—incl. key updates at NSF. Reported w/ Kaia Glickman:

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Here’s a count of workers in the trades from a building trade association. In a country of 350 million, even doubling the trades does little to replace our higher education system. The reality is that cutting off college will push the marginal student toward a low wage service job.

Aaron Rupar

Linda McMahon says some elementary school students should be put on a "pathway" to become plumbers

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