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Ed Hawkins

Профиль Vively

Climate scientist at the National Centre for Atmospheric Science, University of Reading | IPCC AR6 Lead Author | MBE | Views own | https://edhawkins.org Warming Stripes: http://www.ShowYourStripes.info

The missing words in the climate conversation are not human-caused climate change, but fossil fuel emissions. By Hayley Fowler and myself: theconversation.com/was-this-hea...

‘Was this heatwave caused by climate change?’ – we’re asking the wrong questionInstead of asking whether climate change caused a heatwave, we should ask how much hotter it became because of fossil fuel emissions.theconversation.com
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UK drought now extends across Wales with headlines about the driest July in records that stretch back 190 years. How do we know how much it rained in Wales in each July back to 1836? Answer - a volunteer army: www.bbc.co.uk/news/science...

UK's rainfall records rescued by volunteer armyWe now have a clearer idea of when these islands were sodden or parched going back almost 200 years.www.bbc.co.uk
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Are these heatwaves made hotter by greenhouse gas emissions, aerosol reductions or both? Framing the causes of hotter heatwaves: climatelabbook.substack.com/p/framing-th...

Framing the causes of hotter heatwavesFossil fuels or human-induced climate change?climatelabbook.substack.com
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The 13 biggest myths about heatwaves – and how to bust them Every heatwave and every summer is hotter than it would otherwise have been without past greenhouse gas emissions, primarily from burning fossil fuels. www.theguardian.com/environment/...

The 13 biggest myths about heatwaves – and how to bust themWith some still unable to accept humanity’s role in climate chaos, we tackle common misconceptions and deceptionswww.theguardian.com
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Framing the causes of hotter heatwaves The recent reductions in aerosol emissions have acted to unmask the warming that was already caused by past greenhouse gas emissions climatelabbook.substack.com/p/framing-th...

Framing the causes of hotter heatwavesFossil fuels or human-induced climate change?climatelabbook.substack.com
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France just broke it's all time record for night-time minimum temperature: 30.6°C at Vives Is this an 'infernal night'? meteofrance.com/actualites-e...

Canicule : retour de très fortes chaleurs et nuits chaudes | Météo-FranceCette fin de semaine et ce week-end, la chaleur monte encore d'un cran, avec des nuits chaudes sur la majeure partie du pays. En journée, les températures s’intensifient en particulier dimanche, à l'o...meteofrance.com
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M&S saw the plausible weather forecast for 2056, peaking at 45°C, that we produced with the Met Office and made the decision to invest in upgraded refrigeration. This comes after some of their fridges brown down during the recent heatwave. www.independent.co.uk/news/busines...

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Extreme marine heatwave forecast for the coasts around the UK www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...

'Extreme' marine heatwave expected for parts of UK with risk to sea lifeScientists fear that high sea temperatures could have wide-ranging consequences for marine life.www.bbc.co.uk
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Our heatwaves will get hotter and hotter and hotter until we get to global net zero greenhouse gas emissions and so stabilise the climate. www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...

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Comparing the UK heatwaves of June 1976 and June 2026... Daytime maximum & night minimum temperatures were much hotter in 2026. Details: maxima over 21st-30th June in both years. Uses provisional 2026 HadUK-Grid data from Met Office NCIC. Note the difference scale is larger for night minimums.

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Interested in historical weather observations? The @royalsociety.org have scanned their entire meteorological collection from Antarctica to Greenland and put the documents online: royalsociety.org/news/2026/06...

Historic weather data made available to scientists and public, spanning Antarctica to Greenland | Royal SocietyAn archive of over 1600 sets of meteorological, magnetic and tidal observations taken from 1706-1915 from across the globe has been digitised for the first time.royalsociety.org
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Just one possible outcome... but the GFS weather forecast model is suggesting 40-41°C is possible in the UK around 7th July. This is a long-range forecast with significant uncertainty, but the fact that we are even seeing such values fairly regularly in the forecasts is extraordinary.

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A week to remember Started with speaking at an amazing event to mark the 50th anniversary of the summer of 1976, including presenting new climate stripes for summer in UK regions. Ironically, a red heatwave warning was issued during the event. And the PM resigned too.

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