Are you familiar with outliers? Both Glengariff polls (primary & general election) have been out of line when compared w/ other polls taken around the same time. Both showed Stevens w/ leads, contradicting general trends. bsky.app/profile/nova...
novapsycheLook at the averages for the general election. integrityindex.us/race/michiga... Through July 23rd, you see Stevens v Rogers at 44.3% to 44.6%, respectively. OTOH, El-Sayed v Rogers is at 45.4% to 44.0%. The trend for El-Sayed takes a dip when the Glengariff poll, probably an outlier, is added in.