Подтвердите e-mail

Для публикаций, комментариев, реакций и сообщений подтвердите адрес.

←

Публикация

Travis

One reason Israel hasn't joined in the war (except for a few ALBMs in "response" to Iran's salvo after Israel bombed Beirut) is because their own BMD magazine is approaching empty, and w/o US BMD there's legitimately nothing they can do to prevent hits

Shipwreck

A senior U.S. military official warned the Pentagon that there are not enough naval forces to continue defending Israel against ballistic missiles.-WaPo

Обсуждение

1 прямых ответов · 9 сообщений

Travis

Arrow 2-3 are likely low double digits, Davids Sling high double digits. And that's it - they retired their Patriots. If US burns all its THAADs and no Burkes available with SM-3s in the eastern Med, that's it for US support.

Ответ для Travis
Travis

US has apparently withdrawn its Patriot battery from Erbil, which has long provided early detection and interception of missiles from Irans Kurdistan and Azerbaijan regions

Ответ для Travis
Travis

Patriots in Jordan have been key for intercepting before missiles reached Israel, and those have been struck and/or severely depleted

Ответ для Travis
Travis

Two THAAD batteries were in Israel during the June 2025 war, I'm not sure whether they have been redeployed to protect US assets but lets assume they're both still there. We have, in total, like 5 full reloads available for all THAAD batteries regionally

Ответ для Travis
Travis

Not to mention numerous early warning radars across the region being struck, all of which fed data back to Israeli BMD to improve detection and interception rates

Ответ для Travis
Travis

While US Navy BMD availability and pass use has less available info, suffice it to say our expenditure of the extremely expensive and low in number SM-3 interceptor has been high. These are critical for supporting Israel, and have been the quiet workhorse since at least True Promise 2 in Oct 2024

Ответ для Travis
Travis

All that is to say - Israeli BMD is extremely reliant on support from the US and Arab allies to achieve the high rate of interception it has thus far, and that support is increasingly unavailable.

Ответ для Travis
A
aadsfasdfasdf

So what happens here you think? The conflict between physical reality and the desire of upper management to escalate seems to have put things on the verge of genuine disaster.

Ответ для aadsfasdfasdf
A
aadsfasdfasdf

Also, were the liquid “suprise attack” missiles stopped by THAADs? Was that why everyone was screaming “no fair” after that?