Strategist, Leader & Author | Retd Army Major General | Senior Fellow in Military Studies @LowyInstitute | @CSIS | Modern & Future war studies | Futura Doctrina substack | #BannedInRussia
China has run online influence campaigns against Taiwan since 2018. A new internal journal article shows those ideas maturing into an actual operational plan for capturing a city. warontherocks.com/total-war-on...
Total War on Taipei: China Explores Elevating Cognitive Effects into Its Vision of WarfareIn March 2025, China’s military researchers published a concept describing how to rapidly capture and subdue the city of Taipei. Distributed in restrictedwarontherocks.comUnder the new deal, the U.S. lifts its blockade, withdraws forces, and releases frozen assets before Iran has to concede on a single hard issue. warontherocks.com/07/2026/outg...
Outgunned, But Not Outplayed: Iran's Theory of VictoryNineteen weeks ago, Iran faced the combined might of the most powerful country in the world and the most advanced military in the Middle East. Today, itwarontherocks.com
⚡️Zelensky confirms Ukraine strike on St. Petersburg oil infrastructure. Ukraine's military reportedly carried out an attack on St. Petersburg in the early hours of July 4, striking an oil terminal in the city, Russian Telegram media channels reported.
Zelensky confirms Ukraine strike on St. Petersburg oil infrastructureUkraine's military reportedly carried out an attack on St. Petersburg in the early hours of July 4, striking an oil terminal in the city, Russian Telegram media channels reported.kyivindependent.comChina has modernized its military at speed. But to invade Taiwan, the PLA would need to pull off three types of operations nobody has ever executed under modern conditions. warontherocks.com/the-three-ne...
The Three Nevers: To Invade Taiwan, China Would Have to Make Military History ThriceThe amphibious invasion of Normandy on June 6, 1944, remains the largest and most complex amphibious operation in history. On the first day alone, Alliedwarontherocks.com
❗️NATO allies approved language on €70 billion in military equipment, support, and training for Ukraine through 2026, but remain split over locking in the same level for 2027, FAZ reports. Italy opposes a long-term commitment with a specific date. #NATO
An excellent analysis by @warinthefuture.bsky.social on why Russia is losing this war — and why Australia should pay close attention. Ukraine's battlefield has become a classroom for the future of warfare www.lowyinstitute.org/the-interpre...
The most-pressing world events explained by Lowy Institute experts and global contributors, in your inbox, every Wednesday.www.lowyinstitute.orgIt was wonderful to see many friends of Ukraine in Brisbane including the renowned @warinthefuture.bsky.social .