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But you don’t have to look at polling, fortunately!! In every election since Nov 2024, democrats have overperformed an average of 13 points. Election after election confirms these sentiments. Dems had more total primary voters in TX than GOP for the first time in decades. That’s real numbers.

Not me. If you look at the numbers they weren’t off by a ton, especially when you look at the averages and the statistical deviations. And the bit that they always miss is a changing electorate or a realignment. They wouldn’t pick that up fundamentally.

Today's Kinzinger Report is out and we cover: - Trump's political operatives telling Republicans to keep their distance from him - Republicans staying silent on abuse allegations - Trump making more money in two years than in the previous sixty - Trump pushing RFK Jr. to cut childhood vaccines

Black Americans, already a historically engaged portion of the electorate, are doubling down.

Black Americans are turning out for elections in force. This is incredibly dangerous for the forces of both red and brown fascism, they know it, and they will as usual work together to try to divide and surpress it. votehub.com/2026/07/28/a...

Today's Kinzinger Report is out and we cover: - Trump embarrassed at the Correspondents' Dinner - Fired 60 Minutes reporter says CBS told her to lie - The DEA says the drug boat strikes did nothing - Trump putting warning signs outside the Smithsonian

I initially misread “historical” as “hysterical” and now I choose to read it that way.

I initially misread “historical” as “hysterical” and now I choose to read it that way.

Well at least some alleged pedophiles from this country seem to be experiencing some form of justice atm.

The FBI has ADMITTED it has the Epstein Files redaction TRAINING VIDEOS that an anonymous FBI source told me about last year. TODD BLANCHE was required to release these under the Epstein Files Transparency Act. TODD BLANCHE is unfit to serve as Attorney General. VOTE NO. @judiciarydems.senate.gov

Don’t like it when posts like this pick up steam in the algo/network. Gonna mute the thread. For any commenters, just imagine for yourself a generally optimistic and encouraging response that admits genuine challenges ahead.

Me too. And now we don’t have PAC-3s. But … Ukraine might ;) Lots of other countries are waking up to the fact that we are overstretched right now. This is why global redundancies are always critical!! China has problems internally too …. Don’t bank on it being the stable monster it propagandizes.

They’re all seeing the same polls we are. And their internals are probably showing similar. If TX flips, it will be a landslide for Dems nationally. FL might flip. IA will flip. OH will flip. NE will flip. AK will flip. ME will flip. You’re approaching supermajority nums. bsky.app/profile/thor...

Me too.

SORRY FINLAND. THAT WAS NOT A STRAY DRONE. WE CALL THAT HYBRID WARFARE.

I agree. I don’t expect them to get their shit together and not be very evil. But I do think change is in the air. It seems fascists globally are failing on their various pet projects and as political experiments.

Massie and Tillis are staking out territory for a 2028 GOP POTUS nomination. They’re banking on Trump failing (good bet) and the 2016 remaking of the GOP continue on. This could be a healthy reset of the GOP. I expect @adamkinzinger.substack.com and Liz Cheney may be back in competition somehow.

Republican. Guarantee it. By then Trump will have been so conclusively demonstrated as a failed political experiment the GOP will be ripe for remaking. Exactly like 2016. Maybe like a more healthy continuation of that actually. They’ve the writing on the wall. Thune does too.

Made a new stand for my anvil with the hickory tree we cut down. This stump is proper height for an anvil (waist-ish high with anvil seated). My old one was about a foot shorter.

I’ll take “things you say when laying groundwork for a presidential campaign for $1 Billion”, lease @kenjennings.bsky.social