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Andrew Gelman et al.

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Automatically tweets new posts from http://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu Please respond in the comment section of the blog. Old posts spool at https://twitter.com/StatRetro

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Stand-up comedy—like teaching, and book writing—requires “a collaboration with the audience.” statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/08/04/5...

Stand-up comedy—like teaching, and book writing—requires “a collaboration with the audience.” | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
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“Placebo tests deserve a model, not just a glance.” statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/08/03/p...

“Placebo tests deserve a model, not just a glance.” | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
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What gets you is not what you don’t know but what you don’t know you don’t know. statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/08/02/w...

What gets you is not what you don’t know but what you don’t know you don’t know. | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
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Why quantitative understanding of effect sizes matters, even if all you care about is the presence of the effect statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/08/01/h...

Why quantitative understanding of effect sizes matters, even if all you care about is the presence of the effect | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
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Posterior predictive checking is for non-Bayesians too! statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/07/30/p...

Posterior predictive checking is for non-Bayesians too! | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
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“Over-coverage caught by pre-registration: 47 of 56 inside a stated 50% interval” statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/07/29/o...

“Over-coverage caught by pre-registration: 47 of 56 inside a stated 50% interval” | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
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Eleven Kinds of Loneliness: Richard Yates and the tragedy of agency statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/07/29/e...

Eleven Kinds of Loneliness: Richard Yates and the tragedy of agency | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
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Survey Statistics: equivalent models, equivalent weights (locally) statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/07/28/s...

Survey Statistics: equivalent models, equivalent weights (locally) | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
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Selection effects can go both ways (for taxi drivers as well as the rest of us) statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/07/28/s...

Selection effects can go both ways (for taxi drivers as well as the rest of us) | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
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He fit the same statistical models with three different software and got much different estimates. It’s another dimension of the multiverse. statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/07/27/5...

He fit the same statistical models with three different software and got much different estimates. It’s another dimension of the multiverse. | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Scie...statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
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People sometimes talk about “the Jewish vote,” but what’s relevant is not really the Jewish vote or Jewish public opinion; it’s really about campaign contributions and the news media. Also similar with Mormons. statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/07/26/t...

People sometimes talk about “the Jewish vote,” but what’s relevant is not really the Jewish vote or Jewish public opinion; it’s really about campaign contributions and the news media. Also similar ...statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
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I don’t see journal review as a gatekeeping process that will keep erroneous articles from being published statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/07/25/i...

I don’t see journal review as a gatekeeping process that will keep erroneous articles from being published | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
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How generic language shapes the development of social thought statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/07/24/h...

How generic language shapes the development of social thought | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
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Pretty maps of the NY mayoral election vote. (The meta-point here is that people have a (false) intuition that any complicated piece of information can be conveyed in a single plot.) statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/07/23/p...

Pretty maps of the NY mayoral election vote. (The meta-point here is that people have a (false) intuition that any complicated piece of information can be conveyed in a single plot.) | Statistical M...statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
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He “washed his hands in a can of tetraethyl lead at a press conference, claiming he was ‘not taking any chance whatever’. He knew this to be a lie, having already succumbed to a bout of lead poisoning.” statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/07/22/h...

He “washed his hands in a can of tetraethyl lead at a press conference, claiming he was ‘not taking any chance whatever’. He knew this to be a lie, having already succumbed to a bout of lead poisonin...statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
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Survey Statistics: poststratification without population level information statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/07/21/s...

Survey Statistics: poststratification without population level information | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
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Was this USDA survey really “redundant, costly, politicized, and extraneous”? statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/07/21/w...

Was this USDA survey really “redundant, costly, politicized, and extraneous”? | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
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Rebecca Makkai points out: Fancy three-dimensional sets are easier to construct in books than in movies, but harder to explain statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/07/20/f...

Rebecca Makkai points out: Fancy three-dimensional sets are easier to construct in books than in movies, but harder to explain | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
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Ted-talking University of California professor asks sex trafficker for $3,000,000 because he thinks there’s a “50% chance” he’ll make “important discoveries” in telepathy statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/07/19/u...

Ted-talking University of California professor asks sex trafficker for $3,000,000 because he thinks there’s a “50% chance” he’ll make “important discoveries” in telepathy | Statistical Modeling, Caus...statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
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