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Simon Rosenberg

Профиль Vively

Democratic political strategist, analyst, commentator. Hopium purveyor. More than 30 years in the fight. My primary political home is on Substack. Join me there too - https://www.hopiumchronicles.com/

Yes we should include polls put out by the campaign and their allies from 6-7 weeks ago to blunt the trend we are seeing from independent, Michigan-based pollsters in the final days of the campaign? No thanks.

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Where is our government? Trump? DHS Secretary Mullin? Is the American homeland under attack? www.nytimes.com/2026/08/01/u...

Scope of Hacks on U.S. Water Supply Widens as Evidence Points to IranMichigan and Minnesota are among at least seven states coping with cyberattacks aimed at disrupting water systems nationwide.www.nytimes.com
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From CNN this week: - Just 39% of Americans approve of Trump’s handling of immigration - Following two recent deadly ICE shootings, Americans say by a 20-point margin that the agency is making cities less, not more, safe.

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For in general I try to not promote partisan polls. Very consistent thruline in my writing and social media posting.

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This isn't real life. Stevens has been far more focused on attacking Rogers and Trump than El-Sayed.

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The last set of general election polls where a month ago. Much has changed since then. Could the race be breaking open to Stevens given the ad spend, the endorsements, the day to day campaigning? Of course. My point - the perception that AES was a stronger candidate was never real.

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