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Профиль

Patrick Marsh

Профиль Vively

* Christian; Husband; Dad * SPC Chief of Science & Support * OBU Assistant Professor of Natural Science * Former Bear poker turned Bear

My new hobby: asking Gemini "who would win" questions.

050
1130

That was a *special* set of 7 overnight outlook shifts. Nothing like setting yourself up for the atmosphere to make you look like a fool. And the best part is, we save it for everyone else to go back and re-read it!

180

Thick smoke impacts other weather phenomena, too. Thick smoke reduces incoming solar radiation, which keeps temperatures lower than they otherwise would achieve. This in turn reduces the atmospheric buoyancy (all things equal), which impacts storm development, intensity, and longevity.

cira-csu

Thick smoke from Canadian wildfires descends across the U.S. East Coast.

2239

Beautiful lightening display kept me company on my drive home after my shift this morning! It was on fire!

161

@wxfront.bsky.social Is there an outage or issue with the MRMS feeds? It has not worked for me since sometime yesterday.

100

First and foremost … CONGRATULATIONS!!!! I HAD NO IDEA YOU TWO WERE DATING!!!! Secondly … we need to have a conversation about keeping things from your boss! 😉 Thirdly … This better not impede development on Heimdall or I’m sending you back to indoctrination camp! Fourthly ... Can I officiate?!?

Kelton Halbert

Today, I hit a pretty big life moment and got engaged to my best friend and favorite person in the world. Got so nervous that I accidentally placed myself behind the railing. Oh well 🙃😂. Celebrated with a lovely picnic in Central Park!

0100

For clarity: SPC does not run any numerical model. We use the official models run by NOAA. What Kelton is saying is that SPC will choose which members of the REFS and potentially other available CAMs to form our own “ensemble” for SPC post processed guidance and ensemble probability calculations.

Kelton Halbert

SPC will be running its own config of the REFS once HREF retires (SPC REFS). It incorporates the HRRR since it’ll still be around, and removes members that have undesirable convective characteristics due to their convective schemes. It stops some of the bleeding, but it’s going to be a big change.

1170

Air travel is so predictable these days … You travel 10 miles or nearly 700,000 miles only to arrive at your destination on time and still have to wait an hour for a gate to open so you can exit the aircraft …

0111

Call it a hunch, but I don’t think this package is being delivered this morning …

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