Подтвердите e-mail

Для публикаций, комментариев, реакций и сообщений подтвердите адрес.

Профиль

Paul Graf

Профиль Vively

Retired lawyer. Moderate. Dog lover, cat tolerator. Grandfather. Vietnam vet. History, international relations, national security, high-profile litigation, economics, and a little politics.

Have you wondered why oil never hit $200+ per barrel like everybody thought it would? Economists and investors who follow oil and gas flow from start to finish are coming closer to an answer, which appears to be China, but nobody has figured out how they did it or why. We know it cut off almost all

261

The very conservative MAGA guys I have breakfast with all say the same thing: "I hate Trump but I like what he's doing." When I ask why they hate Trump, every one of them lists corruption somewhere in the top two or three, and for most, it the biggest reason.

461

Why do legislators from town councils to the federal House and Senate consistently fail to understand that regulation often incentivizes avoidance. Case in point: Starting in 2024, NYC ran an experiment: a separate minimum wage for construction workers on buildings above 99 units

210

New Yorkers are so loveably weird! Where else would you find people complaining about the rollout of garbage bins because they would change the character of the city's neighborhoods by depriving residents of their historic ability to leave bagged trash on their streets and sidewalks?

130

"According to ArmyTV, Fedorenko said Russian units were forced to introduce restrictions covering items including cameras, propellers, controllers, batteries, and other components required both for assembling drones and upgrading existing systems." So that's why they've been attacking Wildberries!

Ukrainian Strikes on Wildberries Warehouses Had an Unexpected Effect on Russian Drone Use. Here’s WhyUkrainian drone strikes on Wildberries logistics centers destroyed crucial Russian drone components, forcing equipment use restrictions.united24media.com
162

Ketchup, meet Wall.

Trump insists vandals damaged Reflecting Pool, blasts DOJ for dropped chargeThe president acknowledged “there may have been some contractor difficulty” but said he disagreed with U.S. Attorney Jeanine Pirro for dropping a criminal charge against a former Olympian.www.washingtonpost.com
131

The "famed mobster" laughed in the faces of the FBI agents and told them that Mafia goombahs would never use "86" as a synonym for killing. The actress explained in a 2014 Slate article that sometimes when people go on TV for an interview,

Feds relied on accounts from famed mobster, TV actress to build Comey caseIn a series of defense filings Tuesday, the former FBI director urged a judge to dismiss charges that he threatened President Donald Trump’s life, calling the investigation an improper effort to punis...www.washingtonpost.com
100

It might be wise on Israel's part to not depend so heavily on American protection from incoming ballistic missiles. It doesn't have to manufacture a huge number of interceptors necessarily, though that would be prudent; it could try not picking fights with countries that have a lot of those missiles

U.S. general warns Pentagon he lacks sufficient forces to protect IsraelA shortage of Navy destroyers, used to defend against Iranian ballistic missile attacks, will force the head of U.S. European Command to prioritize the U.S. homeland instead, officials said.www.washingtonpost.com
020

This is a serious threat to American and European frontier AI labs. DeepSeek's newest model, V4 Flash, performs close to the level of Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.8, one of the industry's most capable systems, on tests of complex coding and autonomous software tasks, at a 99% discount to Claude.

Charles Mok

DeepSeek's new bargain model accelerates AI's race to zero www.axios.com/2026/08/01/d...

240

There's a lot of caustic commentary about bribery & corruption in the comments here, and yes, there is a lot of that in the White House & with cabinet members, but the plain fact is that the regulatory environment is *always* more favorable to business under Republican administrations. The point

Carl Quintanilla

It may be “may be the most favorable regulatory environment for businesses in years to complete deals” — but “the rush is on to get them done before President Trump’s term runs out.” @nytimes.com www.nytimes.com/2026/07/31/b...

100

When conditions in ICE detention are worse than conditions in a Russian prison, we have a human rights problem.

Stephen Jacob Smith

“The atmosphere was better than what he experienced in U.S. [immigration] detention, he said, with some Russian officials relating to him as a human, even if they berated the soldiers as ‘traitors.’” www.nytimes.com/2026/08/01/w...

044

Actions have consequences They're immediate when you're the Fed chairman making your 1st appearance after an FOMC meeting. There's a symbiotic relationship between the Fed & the market — a closed loop where actions (or in this case, lack of action) by one influences the other. Warsh messed up.

Catherine Rampell

“The bottom line is that an important part of the Fed’s credibility is not just to say that it has certain goals but also to explain how it will achieve those goals.” www.apollo.com/insights-new...

000

It seems that the Big Mac Index serves the same function in economics that the Waffle House Index serves for disaster response.

Mohamed A. El-Erian

The Economist's Big Mac (currency) index is 40 years old! economist.com/interactive/... #economy @economist.com #fx #currency #markets

121

These super MAGA activists think they're a vanguard. Saying “are they too based” plays right into their belief that they’re the vanguard. The same is true of the farther reaches of the progressive movement, where the young activists live. Both ends are firmly atop Dunning-Kruger's Mount Stupid.

E.J. Fagan

Senior Republican congressional staffer on trying to recruit new policy experts: “We have a generation of rabid, incompetent idiots.”

031

Standard Trump - Thinks he needs to fix a problem that doesn't exist, fucks things up, blames other people, and then walks away from the whole mess because he gets bored. Also helps that the media moves on too. 🙄

051

So this is supposed to force them to the negotiating table? Like it has in Ukraine? Like it did with North Vietnam? As far as I know, it's never worked before, so why not try again, just to be sure? 🙄

U.S., Israel preparing to bombard energy-related targets in Iran, sources sayThe U.S. and Israel plan to hit Iran's energy infrastructure as soon as this weekend, although no final decision has been made, sources familiar with the matter told CBS News.www.cbsnews.com
011

"Oh, this was just a marketing test to see if there was interest in such a product, but we never sold any. We would *never* do that." Sounds legit. 🙄

Jason Koebler

This saga is so wild. The original pitch of this company was so, so wild. People just saying and doing extremely mask-off things all the time so it's good to see that they reconsidered this www.404media.co/ai-company-t...

011

What they mean by "unbiased" is clear from all the other times they've used the term to harass universities and the media.

Center for Democracy & Technology

CDT’s Quinn Anex-Ries: “What we’re seeing here is a series of relatively unprecedented actions being taken by the current admin in an effort to impose their political ideology, viewpoints &objectives on AI developers through a range of policy-level levers at their disposal.”

011

How to turn your car into a blast furnace in one easy application.

New ultra-black automotive coating uses carbon nanotubes to absorb 99.9% of visible lightA sprayable carbon coating absorbs 99.9% of visible light while surviving demanding water and humidity tests.www.thebrighterside.news
6825120
Показать ещё