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Turkish Petroleum comes full circle in Kirkuk #TurkishPetroleum #Kirkuk #OilIndustry #EnergyNews #MiddleEast

Turkish Petroleum comes full circle in KirkukNearly 100 years after Turkish Petroleum’s original concession in Mesopotamia lapsed into other hands, Ankara has bought its way back into the Kirkuk complex. WHAT: TPAO takes 15% of BP ECKL, joining bp and ConocoPhillips in Kirkuk redevelopment. WHY: Ankara wants upstream reach, a million-bpd producer and a reset with Baghdad. WHAT NEXT: Closing by end-2026, contingent on approvals, with a new pipeline pact pending. The symbolism was hard to miss. Almost a century after the Turkish Petroleum Co. signed away its interests in what would become one of the world’s most storied oil provinces, its state-owned namesake has bought a 15% stake in the vehicle now redeveloping Kirkuk. Turkish Petroleum Corp. (TPAO) has taken the position in BP Energy Co. of Kirkuk Ltd (BP ECKL), the entity holding the Development and Production Contract (DPC) covering the Baba and Avanah domes of the Kirkuk field and the adjacent Bai Hassan, Jambur and Khabbaz fields, currently operated by state-owned Northern Oil Co. (NOC). The deal was announced at the Presidential Complex in Ankara during an official visit by Iraqi Prime Minister Ali al-Zaidi. “The agreement signed today marks a historic step in terms of partnership in the energy sector,” President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan said in a joint press appearance with the visiting premier, according to a TPAO press release. It came two weeks after ConocoPhillips agreed to take 42% in the same vehicle, a deal expected to be inked in Washington during a separate leg of al-Zaidi’s diplomacy. A century later The Turkish Petroleum Co. of 1912 was the vehicle through which the Anglo-Persian, Deutsche Bank and Royal Dutch/Shell interests carved up Mesopotamian oil, before the Red Line Agreement of 1928 redistributed the shares and eventually ushered in the Iraq Petroleum Co. Kirkuk’s Baba dome came onstream in 1927. The modern TPAO’s return to the same acreage, alongside bp – a direct corporate descendant of Anglo-Persian – closes an unusually long loop. Energy Minister Alparslan Bayraktar was explicit about the trajectory. “This is actually a project we’ve been working on for a long time, and it is one of our most important steps toward making Turkish Petroleum a company that produces 1 million barrels of oil and natural gas per day,” he told reporters after the signing ceremony at his ministry, where TPAO general manager Cem Erdem and Andrew McAuslan, bp’s vice president of upstream business development, put pen to paper. Bayraktar situated the transaction within a broader push. “We have signed agreements with international companies to expand Turkish Petroleum and make it more effective in various regions around the world starting in early 2026,” he said. “We have signed one of the concrete outcomes of our agreements with BP. With this agreement, Turkey has become a partner with BP in the fields in Kirkuk.” Commercial make-up The DPC covers an initial gross recoverable resource of more than 3bn barrels of oil equivalent (boe), to be captured through rehabilitation, redevelopment and optimisation of the existing production base, with further exploration upside inside the contract area. bp retains the majority stake in BP ECKL and remains anchor of the contractor group. ConocoPhillips holds 42% and TPAO 15%. Remuneration, as with prior Iraqi TSC and DPC structures, is linked to a proportionate share of incremental production and costs. “A consortium will be formed comprising ConocoPhillips, BP, and Turkish Petroleum, and this consortium will work together to develop and produce the reserves – which we estimate to be approximately 3 billion barrels – and to increase production there,” Bayraktar said. For ConocoPhillips, the transaction is a re-entry into upstream Iraq on terms its leadership has framed as consistent with its cost-of-supply discipline. “This unique redevelopment opportunity is well aligned with our disciplined investment framework, providing access to a material, high-quality and long-life resource base, comfortably meeting our cost of supply threshold,” chairman and CEO Ryan Lance said in the company’s release. He described the joint venture as offering “an opportunity to create value through a capital-efficient redevelopment program that leverages a large existing production base, while also offering meaningful exploration upside.” ConocoPhillips said it would account for the joint venture as an equity affiliate and did not expect significant capital contributions from Houston. bp cast the arrangement as a validation of the resource base and of its own tightened capital-allocation stance. “Kirkuk is a world-class resource base that can support Iraq’s long-term energy ambitions while creating value for both the country and bp,” chief executive Meg O’Neill said in bp’s statement. “This partnership with ConocoPhillips brings together two great teams and positions us well for the next phase of redevelopment. We’re being deliberate about where we invest, backing high-quality resources that can deliver long-term value for our shareholders.” Closing is expected by the end of 2026, subject to regulatory approvals and customary conditions, with an effective date of July 1, 2026. Pipeline politics The Kirkuk equity move is inseparable from the diplomatic weather around it. Erdoğan told the press conference that the Iraq-Türkiye Crude Oil Pipeline Agreement, the 1973 accord that governs flows from northern Iraq to the Mediterranean at Ceyhan, had “expired as of yesterday” – placing lapse on July 27, 2026. “Our goal now is to sign a comprehensive energy co-operation agreement that will benefit both sides as soon as possible,” he said. “Turkish Petroleum has been granted a partnership in the Kirkuk production field, which is operated by British Petroleum.” The Ceyhan line has been effectively idle since March 2023, when an arbitration ruling in favour of Baghdad against Ankara halted independent Kurdish exports. Rebuilding a legal and commercial framework for northern flows is now urgent for both governments, and TPAO’s stake in the upstream is a form of collateral in that negotiation. Bayraktar met his Iraqi counterparts Basim Muhammad Hudayir, the oil minister, and electricity minister Ali Saadi Vehib on the sidelines. “During our meeting, we reaffirmed our shared commitment to fully utilizing the existing infrastructure of Türkiye-Iraq energy co-operation,” he wrote in a social media post cited in the TPAO release. “We focused on concrete projects that will strengthen our co-operation, particularly in the areas of oil, natural gas, and electricity transmission lines. We aim to further deepen energy co-operation between our countries through joint projects that we will develop on the basis of mutual benefit.” Impact on TPAO TPAO’s international portfolio has until now been dominated by Azerbaijan, minor African exposure and its own domestic Black Sea gas project. Kirkuk, even at 15% of a redevelopment yet to prove its production trajectory, is the largest single conventional oil position the company has ever held outside Turkish waters. Bayraktar’s million-bpd aspiration, previously articulated in general terms, now has a concrete building block. Whether the number is achievable within a decade will depend as much on Iraqi federal-Kurdish politics, security in the Kirkuk arc and the pace at which NOC’s operatorship is folded into consortium workflows, as on subsurface performance. For bp, bringing in ConocoPhillips and TPAO derisks a redevelopment whose scale would otherwise sit uncomfortably against its trimmed capital envelope. For ConocoPhillips, it is a cheap option on a very large resource with limited near-term outlay. For Baghdad, it locks two US-listed majors and a NATO-member national oil company into the future of Kirkuk – a useful diversification of dependencies at a moment when the pipeline north remains cold and the political map around it anything but settled.dlvr.it

North Macedonia’s gasification push enters new phase as Greece interconnector nears completion #NorthMacedonia #Gasification #EnergyTransition #Greece #Interconnector

North Macedonia’s gasification push enters new phase as GreeceThe supply of natural gas to households in North Macedonia is moving closer to reality as the country’s long-awaited gas interconnector with Greece advances towards completion, opening the way for a more diversified energy system and the gradual expansion of the domestic gas distribution network. The project, which is expected to be completed next year, is considered one of North Macedonia’s most important energy infrastructure investments, as it will provide the country with a new natural gas entry point, reduce dependence on a single supply route and strengthen links with regional and European gas markets. “The construction of the interconnector with Greece is a key prerequisite for the further gasification of the country. By ensuring a secure and diversified supply of natural gas, conditions are created for the gradual expansion of the distribution network and the connection of an increasing number of households and companies,” the Ministry of Energy, Mining and Mineral Resources told IntelliNews in a written statement. The ministry said the project will enable the country to move forward with gasification in phases, depending on the development of local distribution infrastructure. “The process will take place in phases, in accordance with the development of the local distribution infrastructure. The new Energy Law, harmonised with European legislation, allows the construction and management of the gas distribution network to be carried out by private investors, while the state remains the owner of the transmission network,” the ministry said. “In this regard, the ministry is already conducting intensive discussions with serious investors who show interest in developing the gas distribution network in Macedonia.” The government is also seeking to encourage households to connect to the future gas network by providing financial support. On July 7, the energy ministry launched a public call for subsidies covering part of the costs for connecting households to natural gas distribution systems or purchasing gas boilers in 2026. The state will cover up to 70% of eligible costs, with a maximum support amount of MKD30,000 (€490) per household. The measure includes assistance for building a household connection to the gas distribution system or purchasing a gas boiler. A total of MKD3mn has been allocated, with funds distributed on a first come, first served basis until they are exhausted. Applications are open until the end of October. “The goal is, with the realization of these investments and activities undertaken by the ministry, to significantly accelerate the gasification process in the coming years,” the ministry told IntelliNews. Strategic project for energy security According to the ministry, the Greece-North Macedonia gas interconnector is designed to provide an initial capacity of 1.5bn normal cubic metres (NM3) of natural gas annually, with the possibility of increasing capacity to 2.8bn NM3 depending on future market demand. The ministry stressed that the importance of the project goes beyond additional infrastructure capacity. “Its greatest significance is not only in the additional capacity, but in the diversification of supply sources. Instead of depending on a single route, North Macedonia will gain access to multiple sources of natural gas. This means greater security of supply, greater competition in the market and real prerequisites for more favorable prices for citizens and the economy,” the ministry said. “With this project, Macedonia finally overcomes its long-standing infrastructure isolation and becomes part of the modern regional gas network.” Once operational, the pipeline will connect North Macedonia with Greece’s gas transmission system, providing access to alternative supply routes, including gas from the Southern Gas Corridor and global liquefied natural gas (LNG) markets through Greece’s infrastructure. The interconnector is also designed to be compatible with future energy developments. The pipeline is hydrogen-ready, allowing it to potentially transport hydrogen or hydrogen blends as European energy markets move towards decarbonisation. In addition, the project is expected to strengthen regional connectivity as North Macedonia plans further links with neighbouring countries, including a future connection with Serbia, further integrating the country into the regional gas network. Construction moves into intensive phase The construction of the interconnector has entered a significantly more intensive phase and remains on schedule for completion next year. Energy Minister Sanja Božinovska inspected the construction works on July 10 together with representatives from the ministry, state gas transmission operator NOMAGAS and Greek gas transmission operator DESFA. According to the ministry, around 95% of land expropriation has been completed, while approximately 85% of the pipeline route has been cleared. Production of all pipes required for the project has been completed, with 34 kilometres of pipes delivered and 21 kilometres already positioned along the route. Construction works have also progressed, with 13.7 kilometres of pipeline welded through more than 800 successful welds, while more than 6.3 kilometres have already been installed underground. Six of the seven planned underpasses have been completed, while around 65% of the required equipment and block stations has been secured. For North Macedonia, the interconnector is a key step towards ending decades of reliance on limited gas infrastructure, expanding access to cleaner energy sources and positioning the country as a more connected participant in the regional energy market.dlvr.it

Wildfires ravage Southern Europe – Statista #Wildfires #SouthernEurope #ClimateChange #EnvironmentalImpact #WildfireSeason

Wildfires ravage Southern Europe – StatistaSouthern Europe’s wildfire season used to typically run from July to September, but now data shows that it is getting longer and more intense. Climate change is leading to longer and more extreme heat waves, which dry out vegetation, enabling fires to spread quickly, reports Statista. According to the European Forest Fire Information System (EFFIS) database, as of July 22, the total burned area in the four main European Union countries of the Mediterranean basin (Spain, France, Italy and Greece) was already 70 percent higher than in previous years. With the fire season not yet over, almost 370,000 hectares of wildland have already gone up in smoke in the region, compared with an annual average of under 220,000 hectares from 2006 to 2025. The development was this year driven by fires in Spain and France, where mass evacuations have been carried out and thousands of firefighters were deployed in the past weeks. While in Spain, the area burned by wildfires was already twice as big as of July 22 than previous year's averages, France saw an increase in burned area of more than 500 percent this year. Usually, Italy is the EU country seeing the largest wildfires after Spain, but this year, France will likely land in rank 2. Greece, seeing on average as much burned area as Italy, has seen remarkably little fire activity this year so far. You will find more infographics at Statistadlvr.it

Slovak InoBat seeks Nasdaq listing through SPAC merger #InoBat #Nasdaq #SPAC #merger #Slovakia

Slovak InoBat seeks Nasdaq listing through SPAC mergerSlovak battery technology company has announced a definitive business combination agreement (BCA) with special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) Cartesian Growth Corporation II (Cartesian II) aiming at US Nasdaq listing. The BCA values InoBat at $1.265bn (€1.1bn) on a pre-money, pre-merger basis, while SPAC represents an alternative way to trading on the stock market than an IPO. “This agreement is a defining moment for InoBat,” Marian Boček, co-founder and CEO of InoBat said in a company press statement. “Demand for electricity is rising as data centre and AI infrastructure expands, and the operators building that infrastructure need reliable, large-scale energy storage. AI runs on computing; computing runs on power,” he also said. Boček highlighted that InoBat “has built a cash-generative BESS business serving industrial customers today, and that “we are now scaling that platform to further reinforce our position in advanced energy infrastructure for AI”. He concluded that “a successful Nasdaq listing would provide us with access to the world’s deepest capital markets, which we believe would give us the resources and transatlantic reach to further accelerate our growth,” adding that listing would help InoBat “expand manufacturing capacity, strengthen and advance our programmes, including our next-generation sodium-ion energy storage technology, and reinforce our position as a leading advanced energy storage company”. Peter Yu, chairman and CEO of Cartesian II said that “InoBat is almost uniquely well-situated to address growing demand for battery storage in a world of heightened attention to supply chain security.” “With industrial partners such as Clarios and Altris, and strategic investors including Gotion, Rio Tinto, and Amara Raja, we believe InoBat will play a critical role in the battery ecosystem,” he added. In Slovakia InoBat is behind the 20 GWh battery plant project in Šurany set up by Gotion InoBat Batteries (GIB), a joint venture between Chinese-owned Gotion High-Tech and InoBat. Construction works on the battery plant began last year and earlier this month the government approved another €145mn injection for the project, which it declared a strategic investment. Prime Minister Robert Fico and Minister of Economy Denisa Saková signed a memorandum with GIB on developing the €1.2bn battery plant in November 2023. In August 2023, Gotion bought a 25% stake in InoBat following one-year talks between the two companies. The plant is supposed to secure 1,300 new jobs, and first production was supposed to commence in September 2026 with output of 20 gigawatthours (GWh). Its output could later reach 40 GWh, and full production is expected in the course of 2027, Slovak press agency TASR reported last year, referring to president of Gotion EMEA, Steven Cai. With increased capacities, the site could employ up to 3,500 employees, TASR also noted.dlvr.it

US sanctions Iran's HormuzSafe marine insurer, shadow fleet tankers #USSannctions #Iran #HormuzSafe #MaritimeSecurity #Tankers

US sanctions Iran's HormuzSafe marine insurer, shadow fleet tankersThe United States has sanctioned Iran's state-backed marine insurance platform HormuzSafe, a second Iranian marine insurer and a network of shadow fleet operators and tankers, in a fresh move against the country's oil exports, the US Treasury's Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) said on July 29. The action is the first to target the state insurance infrastructure Iran has built to keep its sanctioned oil trade moving, extending a campaign that had focused on vessels and their owners to the financial services underpinning them. Both Iranian insurers were established in 2026, as tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz collapsed and Western war-risk cover for Gulf transits dried up. HormuzSafe Marine Services Authority, based in Bandar Abbas in Hormozgan province, and the Persian Gulf Marine Insurance Company were both designated under Executive Order 13902, which targets Iran's petroleum and petrochemical sectors. Both were listed as subject to secondary sanctions. Iran's Ministry of Economy launched HormuzSafe in May, offering marine insurance policies settled in bitcoin for cargo ships transiting the Persian Gulf and the Strait of Hormuz, a mechanism designed to bypass the Western financial system and sanctioned by the platform's own promoters as a tool of sovereign control over the chokepoint. OFAC also designated 10 shipping and trading companies registered in Hong Kong and the Marshall Islands, along with eight tankers linked to them. The vessels, mostly crude oil tankers built between 2002 and 2007 and flagged to Barbados, Vanuatu, Mozambique and the Marshall Islands, were added as blocked property. The designated companies include Billion Nexus Int'l Co, Confident Apex Limited, Nevada Spirit Company Limited and Qi Hang Ship Management Limited. The linked vessels include the crude tankers Al Salmi, Breeze V, Crystal, Lily, Natsumi, Nireta and Yehope, and the chemical and products tanker Well Sail. The designations follow a naval blockade the US imposed on Iran on April 13 after the collapse of ceasefire talks, and come as fighting in the US-Iran war has resumed. Since President Donald Trump returned to office, his administration has sanctioned more than 180 vessels tied to Iranian petroleum shipments.dlvr.it

Sanctions on Russia backfire, leaving Spain's firefighting helicopters grounded as wildfires rage #Sanctions #Russia #Spain #Wildfires #Firefighting

Sanctions on Russia backfire, leaving Spain's firefightingEU sanctions on Russia have backfired, leaving Spain's best Russian-built Kamov Ka-32 firefighting helicopters grounded as severe wildfires burn across southern Europe, reported Berliner Zeitung. Spain can no longer maintain the aircraft, the newspaper said, because sanctions on their manufacturer have cut off access to spare parts and the Russian technicians authorised to service and certify them. Of the eight Ka-32s Spain has under contract, only three were available in 2023 and none were flying by 2024, a Spanish government spokesperson confirmed to parliament in response to a motion from Russia’s Sumar group urging Madrid to seek a partial sanctions exemption. The government said the decision on any exemption rests with the EU, not Spain, and that it is looking at alternative aircraft on the international market, including from Airbus, without success so far. The problem extends beyond Spain. Ka-32s have also been used for firefighting in Portugal, Greece, Bulgaria and Cyprus, Berliner Zeitung reported, but Portugal transferred its six aircraft to Ukraine, leaving it too without the fleet it previously relied on. EU officials have argued Spain had enough time to source European alternatives. Spanish media cited by the newspaper say the government simply lacked the funds to do so before this fire season, which has already burned roughly 153,000 hectares nationally, concentrated in the Madrid, Ávila and Toledo provinces. Spain is in the grip of its worst wildfire season in decades. Copernicus's European Forest Fire Information System (EFFIS) had recorded 119,458 hectares burned nationally as of July 22, and Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez said the total had passed 150,000 hectares by the following week — six times the area destroyed over the same period last year, reported Al Jazeera. The worst single blaze has been in Ávila province, where two fires merged into what is now described as the largest wildfire in Spanish history, burning more than 50,000 hectares; a separate fire in neighbouring Toledo has burned over 45,000 hectares, and the two, together with a third around Madrid, prompted Sánchez to declare the fires "out of control" and call a national emergency on July 24. A fast-moving blaze in Andalusia killed at least 12 people on July 10, before the fires spread hundreds of kilometres north to reach the capital region by July 20. Around 75,000 people have been evacuated across Spain and a further 30,000 told to shelter in place, while a separate fire in the eastern Castellón province has burned more than 4,300 hectares and pushed into the Sierra de Espadán natural park. Sánchez visited the affected central provinces on July 26 and said his government would declare a formal civil protection emergency to unlock recovery funding; Spain has also received international help under the EU's civil protection mechanism, with firefighting aircraft sent by Greece, Italy and Turkey and more than 100 military personnel deployed by Portugal. This year’s disaster season is already proving to be worse than last years, when wildfires burned a record one million hectares of European land.dlvr.it

Turkey, Iraq sign five agreements across key sectors as al-Zaidi visits Ankara #TurkeyIraqRelations #EconomicAgreements #Diplomacy #InternationalCooperation #MiddleEast

Turkey, Iraq sign five agreements across key sectors as al-ZaidiTurkey and Iraq signed five agreements and memoranda of understanding (MoU) covering energy, transport, education, youth and industrial property during Iraqi Prime Minister Ali al-Zaidi's official visit to Ankara. Al-Zaidi visited Ankara on July 28 at the invitation of Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan. During the visit, the two leaders held talks on security, trade, energy, transport, water management and infrastructure projects, and oversaw the signing of several bilateral agreements. Three memoranda were signed at the Presidential Complex following talks between Erdogan and al-Zaidi. The agreements aim to strengthen cooperation in higher education and academic exchange, youth and sports, and industrial property. Separately, Turkish Petroleum Corporation (TPAO) signed an agreement to acquire a 15% stake in BP's interests in Iraq's Kirkuk oilfields, according to Turkey's Ministry of Energy and Natural Resources. The agreement was signed by TPAO Director General Cem Erdem and BP Vice President for Exploration and Production Business Development Andrew McAuslan, in the presence of Turkish Energy Minister Alparslan Bayraktar. Bayraktar said, “The deal forms part of Turkey's strategy to expand TPAO's international presence through partnerships with global energy companies.” “ TPAO, BP and ConocoPhillips would form a consortium to develop reserves estimated at around 3bn barrels and increase production from the Kirkuk fields,” he added. Turkey and Iraq also signed two transport agreements covering rail and road links through the Fishkhabour–Ovakoy border crossing, as well as a framework agreement on developing Iraq's transport infrastructure in exchange for natural resources. Earlier, al-Zaidi said “Iraq and Turkey have significant opportunities to build strategic economic partnerships,” affirming that Iraq remains committed to stability, economic reform and sustainable development.dlvr.it

Argent LNG granted export authorisation for Louisiana project #LNG #EnergyExport #Louisiana #NaturalGas #CleanEnergy

Argent LNG granted export authorisation for Louisiana projectThe US Department of Energy (DoE) has granted an export permit to free-trade countries to Argent LNG for its proposed Louisiana project, Reuters reported on July 27. The proposed LNG export terminal would have a production capacity of up to 25 mn tonnes per year (tpy) of the super-chilled fuel making it one of the largest LNG plants on the US Gulf Coast. The authorisation is a key step forward for the facility, which will be located at Port Fourchon, Louisiana around 160 km south of New Orleans. The approval from DoE gives the plant the ability to ship abroad up to 1.3 tn cubic feet (36.8 bn cubic metres) of natural gas per year for a 20-year period beginning when the project commences commercial operations. The authorisation also gives the facility the ability to export any unused volumes over a three-year make-up period after the end of the plant’s export term. Argent LNG, which is a privately owned US company, is now in the midst of obtaining a permit to ship the super-cooled gas to countries that do not possess free-trade agreements with the US. The approval for US free-trade agreement partners gives the facility the ability to export LNG to countries such as Australia, Canada, South Korea, and Singapore, in addition to any country the US may enter a free-trade agreement with in the future. Argent LNG applied for both its FTA and non-FTA export licences in March. The company will now focus on taking a final investment decision (FID) on the project. Earlier in July, Argent LNG inked a long-term partnership with Ukrainian state energy firm Naftogaz. The deal will see LNG exported to regasification terminals in Europe and transported through the European pipeline to Ukraine and other countries, making use of Ukraine’s extensive underground gas storage facilities. A non-binding agreement was also signed with Bangladesh’s state-owned Petrobangla for up to 5 mn tonnes of LNG. Argent has also inked a market participation deal with Turkey’s Enerji Piyasalari Isletme (EPIAS).dlvr.it

Saudi Arabia vows decisive response as Iraq-launched drones hit oil sites again #SaudiArabia #Iraq #Drones #OilIndustry #MiddleEast

Saudi Arabia vows decisive response as Iraq-launched drones hit oilSaudi Arabia will respond decisively to attacks on its oil facilities and shipping by Iran-aligned groups in Iraq and Yemen, the cabinet said on July 28. The statement came hours before the defence ministry announced a second consecutive interception of drones launched from Iraqi territory at petroleum facilities in the Eastern Province. Riyadh is being squeezed at both ends of its export system, with the Strait of Hormuz closed and Red Sea transits under Houthi attack, and the cabinet's language moves the kingdom closer to acting beyond its borders. The session, chaired by Crown Prince and Prime Minister Mohammed bin Salman in Jeddah, condemned attacks by Iran-backed militias in Yemen and Iraq on oil facilities in the Riyadh and Eastern regions and on commercial vessels in the Red Sea. It said the kingdom would not tolerate threats to its security, national interests and critical infrastructure. The Saudi response would be made in accordance with international humanitarian law, customary international law and the principle of proportionality, the cabinet said. It called on the Iraqi government to take all necessary measures to stop Iraqi territory being used as a launchpad against the kingdom. Defence ministry spokesman Major General Turki al-Malki later said air defences had intercepted and destroyed several drones aimed at Eastern Province petroleum facilities. The attempts originated once again from Iraqi territory and were carried out by what he described as Iran-backed terrorist militias, he said, adding that Riyadh reserved the right to respond at the appropriate time and place. No casualties or damage were reported and the number of drones was not disclosed. Drones launched from Iraq at oil facilities in the Eastern Province and Riyadh were intercepted on July 27. Iraqi Prime Minister Ali al-Zaidi, who is also commander-in-chief of the armed forces, ordered an investigation. Military spokesman Sabah al-Numan said Iraq would not allow its territory to be used for attacks on neighbouring states and would take legal action against anyone found responsible. The Islamic Resistance in Iraq, an umbrella grouping of Iran-aligned militias that has claimed similar attacks, said Riyadh had fabricated the allegations. As Newsbase previously reported, Houthi forces separately claimed drone strikes on Saudi crude supply and transport infrastructure in the Eastern Province. Jordan's air force shot down two drones over its territory in the same period. The cabinet reviewed the crown prince's telephone calls with Kuwait's Emir Sheikh Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah, Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif and UK Prime Minister Andy Burnham, alongside diplomatic efforts to safeguard navigation in the Gulf and the Red Sea. Saudi and Japanese officials met separately on July 28 and called for de-escalation around Hormuz. Saudi Arabia and the UAE both reported intercepting Iraq-launched drones in May. A drone attack on the Ras Tanura refinery, the kingdom's largest, on March 2 caused minimal physical damage but halted operations and suspended propane and butane exports for several weeks. Saudi Arabia has rerouted part of its crude exports through the Red Sea and the Suez Canal since Hormuz closed. Iran's foreign ministry said on July 27 that the strait remains shut.dlvr.it

Iraq faces worsening fuel shortage as diesel queues grow in Baghdad #Iraq #FuelShortage #DieselQueues #Baghdad #EnergyCrisis

Iraq faces worsening fuel shortage as diesel queues grow in BaghdadLong queues formed at filling stations across Baghdad as Iraq's diesel shortage deepened, with the oil ministry preparing emergency imports, Shafaq News reported on July 28. The purchases would reverse a policy set eight months ago, when the prime minister ordered a halt to imports of gasoline, diesel and kerosene on the grounds that Iraq had achieved self-sufficiency in refined products. The gap has reopened because foreign contractors abandoned refinery upgrade work during the Iran war, and because reduced Iranian gas deliveries have pushed households and businesses onto private generators that burn diesel. Dozens of vehicles were seen waiting at filling stations in the capital, with drivers reporting longer waits and greater difficulty obtaining supply. The shortage has affected Baghdad and several other provinces. Industry specialists attribute the squeeze to higher domestic demand from summer generator use, combined with reduced output at several refineries undergoing maintenance. The two have widened the gap between production and consumption. The oil ministry is preparing to bring in additional volumes to keep private generators and local markets supplied. Officials have described the imports as a temporary measure until refinery output recovers and development projects are finished. Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani directed the ministry to stop importing middle distillates in November 2025, citing higher crude output and added refining capacity. Iraq continued to buy high-octane gasoline and low-sulphur diesel grades its refineries cannot produce to European specification. Iraq has nameplate refining capacity of roughly 1.3mn barrels a day, the second largest in the Arab world after Saudi Arabia, and has added 380,000 b/d since early 2023, including the 140,000 b/d Karbala refinery. The configuration remains the problem. Iraqi refineries yield heavy fuel oil in excess of domestic requirements and insufficient gasoline and diesel. The system was already under strain. A nationwide gasoline shortage in June followed the withdrawal on security grounds of the foreign contractor building a fluid catalytic cracking unit at the South Refineries, costing 4mn to 5mn litres a day of high-octane gasoline. Demand reached about 35mn litres a day against output of roughly 30mn litres. Several foreign oil companies pulled out or curtailed operations in Iraq after Iranian missile and drone attacks during the conflict with the US and Israel. Generator demand is the second pressure. Iraq has imported Iranian gas since 2017 to fuel power plants near Baghdad and Basra, under a five-year contract renewed in March 2024 for up to about 18.7 bcm a year. Actual deliveries have run well below contracted volumes, and Iran has cut supply during periods of peak demand at home. The Kurdistan Region has faced its own petrol shortage over the past week. Kurdistan Regional Government Prime Minister Masrour Barzani linked the disruption partly to regional tensions and higher global fuel prices, while production costs had held steady, and said the wider energy market had affected both the region and Iraq. Baghdad sells fuel at among the lowest pump prices in the world whilst Iranian imports in recent months, which are even cheaper due to the devalued rial have often been popular in border regions with smugglers on motorcycles.dlvr.it

Iran says European warships near Hormuz are legitimate targets #Iran #Hormuz #EuropeanWarships #MilitaryConflict #Geopolitics

Iran says European warships near Hormuz are legitimate targetsEuropean warships approaching the Strait of Hormuz are legitimate targets, Iran's deputy foreign minister for legal affairs Kazem Gharibabadi said, Imna reported on July 28. The remarks are the most explicit threat Tehran has made against European naval forces since France and the UK announced deployments around the waterway in May, moving Iran's stated position from opposing their presence to declaring them targets. Gharibabadi also set out as policy that the strait will not revert to its pre-war condition, a position that bears directly on tanker war-risk premiums and on Gulf export routing. Speaking in a televised interview, Gharibabadi said Iran's policy was that the strait should never return to its pre-war state. "If the Strait of Hormuz returns to the situation before the war, our success in the war will not be complete," he said. He said Iran had opted against opening the southern channel of the strait because doing so would have left it unable to exercise sovereignty there. Tehran was not deterred by any consequence of consolidating its control, he said, including a resumption of the war. "We have discovered a new defensive capacity called the Strait of Hormuz," Gharibabadi said, describing the waterway as part of Iran's national security and a defensive capability for the country. He added that Iran had upgraded its defensive tools. France and the UK announced warship deployments near the strait in May, drawing a warning from Gharibabadi of a decisive and immediate response. He said at the time that the strait was not the common property of powers outside the region and that determining its legal arrangements was Iran's right as a coastal state. Iran closed the strait to shipping linked to the US and Israel following strikes on Iranian targets. Washington began an air campaign on March 19 aimed at reopening it and imposed a naval blockade of Iran on April 13. A French-led European monitoring mission, European Maritime Awareness in the Strait of Hormuz, has operated in the area since 2020, with its military arm headquartered at the French naval base in Abu Dhabi. Around a fifth of the world's oil supply passes through the strait.dlvr.it

Argent LNG granted export authorization for Louisiana project #LNG #NaturalGas #EnergyExport #Louisiana #ArgentLNG

Argent LNG granted export authorization for Louisiana projectThe US Department of Energy (DOE) has granted an export permit to free-trade countries to Argent LNG for its proposed Louisiana project, Reuters reported on July 27. The proposed LNG export terminal would have a production capacity of up to 25 mn tonnes per year (tpy) of the super-chilled fuel making it one of the largest LNG plants on the US Gulf Coast. The authorization is a key step forward for the facility, which will be located at Port Fourchon, Louisiana around 160 km south of New Orleans. The approval from DOE gives the plant the ability to ship abroad up to 1.3 tn cubic feet (36.8 bn cubic metres) of natural gas per year for a 20-year period beginning when the project commences commercial operations. The authorization also gives the facility the ability to export any unused volumes over a three-year make-up period after the end of the plant’s export term. Argent LNG, which is a privately owned US company, is now in the midst of obtaining a permit to ship the super-cooled gas to countries that do not possess free-trade agreements with the US. The approval for US free-trade agreement partners gives the facility the ability to export LNG to countries such as Australia, Canada, South Korea, and Singapore, in addition to any country the US may enter a free-trade agreement with in the future. Argent LNG applied for both its FTA and non-FTA export licenses in March. The company will now focus on taking a final investment decision (FID) on the project. Earlier in July, Argent LNG inked a long-term partnership with Ukrainian state energy firm Naftogaz. The deal will see LNG exported to regasification terminals in Europe and transported through the European pipeline to Ukraine and other countries, making use of Ukraine’s extensive underground gas storage facilities. A non-binding agreement was also signed with Bangladesh’s state-owned Petrobangla for up to 5 mn tonnes of LNG. Argent has also inked a market participation deal with Turkey’s Enerji Piyasalari Isletme (EPIAS).dlvr.it

Electrifying Asia – where EVs are reshaping power demand and fuel use #ElectricVehicles #EVTrends #SustainableEnergy #CleanTransportation #GreenTech

Electrifying Asia – where EVs are reshaping power demand and fuel useAsia’s electric vehicle revolution is no longer simply a transport story. Across much of East and Southeast Asia it is now becoming a major electricity story, altering how power is generated, accelerating investment in renewable energy and, over time, reducing the existing demand for imported oil and LNG. The shift is uneven though. China dominates in scale, as might be expected, while countries such as Thailand, Vietnam and Indonesia are quickly emerging as manufacturing and policy hubs. Taiwan, meanwhile, has carved out its own distinctive niche through electric scooters and battery swapping technology. The most immediate effect of EV adoption in recent years is largely straightforward. Every battery-powered car, bus or scooter replacing an internal combustion engine reduces petrol or diesel consumption. And what replaces those fuels depends on the electricity mix in any given country. Where coal still dominates, emissions savings are smaller – for obvious reasons. Where renewables are expanding rapidly, however, electrified transport increasingly runs on solar, wind or even hydropower. China offers the clearest and by far the world’s best example. It is the world’s largest EV market by a wide margin and has simultaneously built the world’s largest solar and wind generation capacity. Beijing is increasingly shifting energy demand away from imported crude oil and towards domestically generated electricity, according to the International Energy Agency’s (IEA) Global EV Outlook 2026 and figures from China’s own National Energy Administration (NEA). That does not eliminate fossil fuels from the system. What it does though is change where they are consumed and in turn reduces the exposure to the ever volatile oil markets. The interaction then between EVs and renewable electricity is becoming increasingly important. Vehicle charging typically occurs overnight when cars and scooters are not being used. This helps to absorb off-peak generation, while smart charging systems increasingly encourage motorists to recharge when renewable output is abundant – and in some cases when power being supplied to homes is cheaper. In the future it has been speculated that millions of vehicle batteries could even provide grid balancing services through vehicle-to-grid technology, although commercial deployment of such remains limited, the IEA says. For LNG exporters, this matters – and hurts. Gas-fired generation has often been viewed as the natural partner for intermittent renewable energy because it can ramp output quickly. Yet rapid growth in battery storage in China and across Asia is beginning to challenge that assumption. As battery costs fall – and they are, rapidly - utilities can increasingly pair solar farms with storage rather than relying solely on gas-fired peaking plants, according to BloombergNEF’s Energy Storage Market Outlook. The IEA’s Southeast Asia Energy Outlook 2026 meanwhile, expects electricity to become the backbone of Southeast Asia’s energy system over the coming coming decades. EV sales in the region more than doubled during 2025 to about half a million vehicles, representing nearly 20% of all new vehicle sales. Electric two- and three-wheelers are expected to account for almost 60% of these sales figures by 2035. And as electricity demand will continue rising rapidly, oil use in transport will grow much more slowly than vehicle ownership. One day it will start to drop. Thailand has emerged as arguably Southeast Asia’s leading EV production centre. Generous incentives have attracted Chinese manufacturers including BYD, Great Wall Motor and Shanghai Automotive Industry Corporation (SAIC), alongside domestic investment in charging infrastructure. The country’s own expanding solar industry complements the transport transition, allowing an increasing share of vehicle charging to come from renewable electricity rather than imported oil, according to Thailand’s Board of Investment (BOI) and the IEA. Vietnam is also following a similar path. Domestic manufacturer VinFast has driven rapid EV adoption across the country’s main cities of Ho Chi Minh, Hanoi and Da Nang, while the government continues expanding solar and wind capacity after one of the world’s fastest solar installation programmes. This combination is gradually shifting transport energy demand from imported fuels towards domestically generated electricity, according to the International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA). Indonesia to the south and Southeast Asia’s most populous nation, presents a different model. Rich in nickel reserves, it has positioned itself as a battery manufacturing hub rather than simply an EV market. As such, Chinese and South Korean companies have invested heavily in battery plants and vehicle assembly. At the same time, Indonesia continues adding geothermal, hydropower and solar capacity, although coal still dominates electricity generation for now. As the power mix gradually decarbonises, however, the climate benefits of EVs will increase correspondingly, Indonesia’s Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources states. Neighbouring Malaysia and Singapore are pursuing complementary strategies. Singapore’s emphasis lies in charging infrastructure, smart grids and fleet electrification rather than vehicle manufacturing for which it simply does not have the space. Malaysia has focused on attracting investment into battery components and EV assembly as Kuala Lumpur expands solar generation through large-scale solar auctions, according to the Jakarta-based ASEAN Centre for Energy (ACE). Taiwan, also limited in size, has taken a distinctive approach centred on two-wheel transport. Rather than prioritising electric cars, it has become synonymous with Gogoro’s battery-swapping ecosystem although there are others now trying to carve a niche for themselves. Millions of battery swaps occur every month across thousands of stations, allowing riders to exchange depleted batteries in seconds instead of waiting for charging. The model reduces range anxiety while providing a potentially valuable distributed energy asset, according to Gogoro’s annual sustainability and investor reports even if customers do complain of battery capacities, even when fully charged, gradually decreasing. Similar battery-swapping concepts are now being explored elsewhere in Asia, including India, Indonesia and the Philippines, although none has yet matched Taiwan’s scale. Electric scooters are particularly significant because two-wheelers dominate urban transport across much of Southeast Asia and into the South Asia region. Indonesia, Vietnam and Thailand collectively have well over 200mn motorcycles. Even Taiwan with a population of around 24mn has 14mn registered scooters on the road. Electrifying even a fraction of that fleet produces immediate reductions in petrol demand while requiring relatively modest battery capacity compared with passenger cars. Gogoro has reportedly sought partnerships in Indonesia, India and other regional markets to export its battery-swapping model. And with renewable energy infrastructure increasingly following EV deployment, China remains the clear leader, manufacturing most of the world’s solar panels, batteries and EVs while continuing massive investment in wind and solar generation. But with Vietnam an important solar manufacturing base, while Thailand and Indonesia are expanding both renewable generation and battery supply chains, these countries too increasingly see transport electrification and renewable power as parts of a single industrial strategy rather than separate sectors. That does not mean LNG demand disappears or will, overnight. In many Asian electricity systems, gas remains the preferred flexible generation source capable of balancing intermittent solar and wind output. The IEA’s Southeast Asia Energy Outlook 2026 expects natural gas to continue playing an important role in regional power systems, particularly where coal is displaced. However, stronger renewable deployment combined with battery storage could moderate long-term LNG demand growth compared with earlier expectations. And much sooner than expected. Oil on the other hand faces a more direct challenge. Every additional EV permanently removes future demand for petrol or diesel. While aviation, shipping and heavy industry will continue consuming hydrocarbons for decades, passenger road transport is steadily shifting towards electricity. According to the IEA’s Southeast Asia Energy Outlook 2026, EVs and biofuels in Asia and worldwide could eventually displace oil demand equivalent to a substantial share of the region’s crude imports under more ambitious policy scenarios. To this end, and given that electrification, coupled with domestic renewable generation, offers greater energy security as well as lower emissions, the result is a structural shift in Asia’s energy landscape. Transport is becoming increasingly tied to electricity rather than oil, while electricity itself is becoming progressively cleaner. The winners are likely to be countries capable of building integrated ecosystems spanning renewable generation, batteries, charging networks and EV manufacturing.dlvr.it

Hungary commissions Central Europe’s largest battery storage complex #Hungary #BatteryStorage #RenewableEnergy #CleanEnergy #Sustainability

Hungary commissions Central Europe’s largest battery storage complexHungary has inaugurated what developers say is the largest battery energy storage system (BESS) in Central Europe, in another step in the country's rapid expansion of grid-scale energy storage to support its fast-growing renewable energy sector, business online VG writes. The new facility, located in the village of Buj in northeastern Hungary, has a combined installed power of 99.8MW and an energy storage capacity of 288.5MWh. It consists of two identical battery systems, each rated at 49.9MW/144.3MWh, commissioned by Portuguese renewable energy company Greenvolt Power and carried out by Hungarian engineering group Forest-Vill, which won the tender in December 2024 and completed construction in May 2026. The Buj project overtakes Hungary's previous largest battery storage facility, a 40MW/80MWh installation at Szazhalombatta developed by MET Group, which was connected to the grid in 2025 and was also built by Forest-Vill. The project uses BYD's lithium iron phosphate (LFP) battery technology, which underscores its growing role in Europe's energy storage market. BYD, which has an e-bus factory in Hungary, is also building its first European passenger car factory in Szeged, southern Hungary According to Forest-Vill, the two battery systems can supply enough electricity in a single discharge cycle to cover the consumption of more than 40,000 households. The modular, containerised design allows for future expansion and includes digital monitoring and predictive maintenance systems to improve operational reliability. The projects received funding of €28mn from the Recovery and Resilience Facility (RRF). Battery storage has become increasingly important for Hungary as solar capacity has expanded rapidly over the past few years. The country already has one of the highest shares of solar generation in Central Europe, which has created challenges for balancing electricity supply during periods of strong sunshine and low demand. Hungary’s outdated grid has also constrained the integration of solar and wind. Hungary has been adding more than 1GW of new solar capacity each year, and over 300,000 households are now equipped with rooftop solar panels. The government is targeting an increase in installed solar capacity from 8.3GW to 12GW by 2030 as part of its broader energy transition strategy. The commissioning comes shortly after Hungary joined a new European initiative to accelerate battery storage deployment. In June, Economy and Energy Minister Istvan Kapitány announced that Hungary had joined a political agreement signed by 22 EU member states, the European Commission, financial institutions and industry participants aimed at speeding up investment in energy storage between 2026 and 2028. Under the initiative, participating countries pledged to develop 45GW of new storage capacity over the period, with Hungary committing to 700MW, bringing its total to 1000MW. The announcement also follows concerns over the resilience of Hungary's power system during periods of extreme heat. Earlier this summer, high temperatures forced output reductions at the Paks nuclear power plant after cooling water temperatures in the Danube approached regulatory limits, highlighting the need for greater flexibility in the country's electricity mix.dlvr.it

Iran speeds up Kharg oil terminal projects amid US threats against export island #Iran #OilIndustry #KhargTerminal #EnergySecurity #USSanctions

Iran speeds up Kharg oil terminal projects amid US threats againstIran is pressing ahead with the completion of development and infrastructure projects at its Kharg Island oil terminal, a senior Oil Ministry official said, as the United States continues to threaten to seize the island that handles the bulk of the country’s crude exports, Shana News Agency reported on July 28. Abbas Assadrouz, head of the Iranian Oil Terminals Co. (IOTC), made the remarks during a visit to the strategic island in the Persian Gulf, through which about 90% of Iran’s crude oil exports are shipped. “These projects aim to enhance safety, increase equipment reliability, boost operational readiness and ensure the sustainable continuity of the country’s oil exports,” Assadrouz said. Among the projects he inspected was a fire detection and firefighting system for crude oil storage tanks. Assadrouz described the scheme as one of the country’s most important safety upgrade projects at oil terminals, saying it was being installed to safeguard national assets, improve facility safety, reduce operational risks and increase preparedness for emergency response. Iran’s accelerated work on the fire protection system comes after Kharg Island was bombed twice by the United States following the outbreak of the joint US-Israeli war against Iran in late February. US President Donald Trump said at the time that none of the island’s oil facilities had been targeted in the air strikes. Trump has repeatedly threatened to occupy Kharg Island. In his latest threat on July 26, he posted an AI-generated image on his Truth Social platform depicting US warplanes pounding the island’s oil installations. Iran has warned it would hit back against any strike on its oil infrastructure by targeting oil facilities in regional countries allied with the US from which American forces launch attacks against Iran. There are growing fears about global energy supplies should key oil infrastructure in Iran or other Persian Gulf producers come under fire. Kharg lies about 25 kilometres off Iran’s coast. The 20-square-kilometre coral island’s proximity to the mainland would make any occupation highly risky, as Iranian forces could shower occupying forces with volleys of missiles and drones from the mainland, potentially inflicting heavy casualties on them. Kharg’s location close to southern oilfields, favourable maritime position and deep-water access for very large crude carriers have made it the hub of Iran’s crude loading operations. The island hosts the country’s largest oil storage facilities and is connected to its biggest producing fields.dlvr.it

Greece’s Dynagas gets EU exemption to transport Russian LNG #Greece #Dynagas #EULaw #LNG #RussianGas

Greece’s Dynagas gets EU exemption to transport Russian LNGBrussels yields to Athens but caps LNG volume transported at 2025 levels. What: Greek shipping line Dynagas has been given the right to continue transporting Russian LNG in a major compromise by the European Union with Athens. Why: Brussels’ attempt to approve its 21st sanctions package against Russia was stalled for over a week, causing the EU to cave in order to enforce the other sanctions. What Next: LNG shipping volumes will be capped at 2025 levels, and Greece has agreed to extend a price cap on Russian oil at $44.10 a barrel for one year. Greek shipping line Dynagas has been granted authorisation by the European Union to continue transporting Russian LNG, the Financial Times reported on July 22. Greek politicians claimed that prohibiting European shipping companies from delivering Russian LNG to third-country buyers would only result in the transfer of business to China, Japan, and other countries while not lowering Russia’s export revenues. Athens was adamant about obtaining the exemption for Dynagas because it operates specialised ice-class LNG vessels that serve Russia’s northern Yamal LNG project. The concession to the shipping company, which owns 27 LNG tankers, comes with the EU willing to make a compromise in order to push through its 21st sanctions package against Russia. The package had been stalled for more than a week by Athens. Ultimately, EU lawmakers felt that getting the new sanctions imposed overweighed allowing a loophole for a European firm to continue transporting Russian LNG. The new sanctions package imposes more sanction on banks, military-industrial companies, and cryptocurrency networks. Consequently, EU companies are now able to continue shipping Russian LNG cargoes to third countries. EU ambassadors approved the deal, which will run for 12-months and could be renewed. Nevertheless, the bloc did impose a limit on volumes, capping it at 2025 levels. Similarly, Greece promised to extend the price cap on Russian oil for one year to $44.10 a barrel, less than half of current prices that are hovering around $95 a barrel. The price cap extension prevents the price from rising as it was about to due to the system benchmarking the cap price to the global oil price. The EU’s ban on imports of Russian gas is scheduled to come into effect on January 1. This was also a sticking point for Athens, which called for an exemption for any contracts agreed to before February 2022 when Russia invaded Ukraine. The EU’s sanctions preventing short-term import contracts for Russian LNG came into force on April 25. However, despite its tough talk on limiting Russia’s profits from its fossil fuels industry, the EU continues to lack discipline. In addition to the concession given to Dynagas, European utilities also made their largest monthly purchase of the super-chilled fuel from Russia in the final month before short-term import contracts were outlawed. March saw the EU import about 2.45 bn cubic metres of LNG from Russia, marking a 20% rise from February and representing a 40% increase year on year, according to data compiled by advocacy group Urgewald based on Kpler ship-tracking. In fact, European energy traders bought every cargo exported by Russia’s Arctic Yamal LNG plant operated by Novatek. The Dynagas exemption is the latest in occurrences where the EU has failed to live up to its bravado. In May, the bloc softened enforcement of its methane emissions rules for oil and gas imports as the Iran war sparked fears over Europe’s energy security. Brussels agreed to allow member states to delay penalties for breaches of methane rules if enforcing them risks disrupting energy supplies. Last year, the EU also discussed taking action to make it simpler for US LNG imports to meet the bloc’s methane emissions requirements, with the European Commission examining regulatory flexibilities in order to aid US LNG exporters. Indeed, Brussels’ caving to Athens demands have drawn criticism from some EU officials who lambasted the bloc for its lack of unity and for remaining addicted to Russian LNG and its downstream value chain. In fact, imports of Russian LNG have increased since its invasion of Ukraine. Despite its bluster, the EU continues to make itself vulnerable to external shocks. Beyond its overreliance first on Russian pipeline gas and then Russian LNG, the bloc has also found itself struggling with an overdependence on US LNG. Now, it is also taking a hit from its inability to receive LNG supply from Qatar, which has needed to declare force majeure to European clients, such as Edison. Equally as troubling has been Europe’s inability to cutoff its downstream business that supports Russia’s LNG sector. Beyond Dynagas, Denmark's Fayard shipyard has also come under severe criticism this month to halt servicing a fleet of ice-class tankers that ship Russian LNG. For all its strong talk about quitting Russian fossil fuels, the exemption given to Dynagas serves as a microcosm of a bigger problem for the EU in its failure to have unity and take some pains itself to inflict a harder blow to Russia.dlvr.it

Europe's summer heat has broken the Bell curve, as record El Niño builds #EuropeHeat #ElNino #ClimateChange #GlobalWarming #WeatherTrends

Europe's summer heat has broken the Bell curve, as record El NiñoThis summer’s extreme temperatures have broken the normal “Bell curve” distribution of temperature variations and pushed it sharply to the right into record breaking highs. This is not normal – literally. That is the other name for the Bell curve: “the normal distribution.” First you’ll need a quick maths lesson to understand why this news is so shocking. Bear with me. It’s not hard maths. Originally developed by the famous German mathematician Carl Friedrich Gauss, who studied mortality, what the curve describes is a normal but random distribution around some event, like a person’s age at death. There is some average age, described by the peak at the middle of the curve, and likelihood of longer and shorter life spans are described by the shoulders of the curve left and right. At the extremes, the curve shows it's very unlikely to live a very short or long time before a person dies. The key measurement for understanding what the shape of the curve means is to measure the “standard deviation”, how the numbers spread out from the middle. Put simply, one standard deviation (known as a “sigma” in the trade) is nothing unusual at all. The curve is fat in the middle and around two thirds of all the results are in this part of the curve, so straying for the exact mean is no surprise at all. Moving out to two standard deviations and you capture 95% of all the results as the curve is still pretty fat, so that should not raise any eyebrows. But when you get to three sigmas from the middle, then you are into the territory where the curve has fallen by a lot. The number of results in that part of the curve only make up 4.3% of the results in a normal distribution. And there is the rub: average temperatures this summer are six sigmas away from the historical middle of the curve. That is not only not normal, or even unlikely, it is an extraordinary crisis. In other words, this is the climatic equivalent of having a granny that just celebrated her 121st birthday. Indeed, it is worse than that as it has never happened before. Scientists say this summer’s temperature range is now outside the range of historically recorded variants and the fast-developing super El Niño pushing global ocean heat to fresh records beneath it is to blame. This is the longest living granny in history. Spilling out of the bell curve "The summer that spilled out of the Bell curve: ancient climate statistics said it was impossible," wrote Spanish climate scientist Juan Jesus Gonzalez-Aleman, presenting standardised temperature anomaly data for Western Europe between May 15 and July 15. Comparing three periods – the 1951-1980 baseline, the 1991-2020 climatology already shifted to the right, and 2026 – he found the entire distribution for this year has moved to around three standard deviations, with a tail extending beyond six sigmas. Western Europe standardised temperature anomalies, 15 May-15 Jul, 2026 vs historical climatology. Source: ERA5/Copernicus Climate Data Store, graphic by Juan Jesus Gonzalez-Aleman. The most striking figure concerns the tail of the distribution. It’s much fatter than the front of the curve. One sure sign that a distribution is random is the left and right sides of the curve look the same. If the body of the curve is pushed to the left or right that is not random; something is driving it off base. In this case: the rapidly accelerating Climate Crisis. Gonzalez-Aleman's data shows the share of readings exceeding four sigmas – a threshold that in a stable climate should occur with a probability of just 0.0032%, or roughly 1 in 30,000 – has historically been "practically zero" over 70 years of records. In 2026, around 15% of readings exceeded that threshold. "We're no longer talking about a warmer-than-normal year," he said. "The climate has shifted to a range that the old statistics said shouldn't happen." Oceans hit record heat as El Niño builds fast As IntelliNews reported, this year is witnessing a historically hot El Niño, a climatic phenomenon that heats the seas in the Pacific Ocean up roughly every four years. Underpinning the atmospheric extremes is an unusually rapid build-up of ocean heat. The Nino 3.4 index – the key measure of El Niño strength in the tropical Pacific – has now set a new record daily high for 55 consecutive days through July 23, running 0.74°C above any previous reading for that date, climate scientist Eliot Jacobson said. "The Climate Casino is taking the Over on 3.6°C [Zeke Hausfather's forecast] and the Under on 4.3°C [the CFSv2 model's forecast]," he added, referring to competing predictions for how high the anomaly will peak. Nino 3.4 sea-surface temperature anomaly, 1982-2026, with 2026 shown in red through July 23. After the Nino 3.4 index crossed the El Niño threshold of 0.5°C in April, it reached 1°C in May, 1.6°C in June and pushed above 2°C in early July – one of the fastest onsets on record. That is why this year’s El Niño has been dubbed “super.” The world's oceans were already the hottest on record for June, according to independent European climate-monitoring services, even before the current acceleration. Model ensembles now put the event on track to become the strongest El Niño on record, with a median forecast of the Nino 3.4 anomaly peaking near 3.6°C later this year and some models pointing as high as 3.9-4.3°C – comfortably above the previous record El Niño of 2015-16. The economic toll: grain losses top €2bn Why is all this important? One of the things El Niño does is disrupt the weather. Hot ocean water causes air to rise and that is wind that then affects everything. It can cause storms and tornados in one part of the world, flooding deluges in another, and droughts somewhere else. Crops are in the firing line, and the extraordinary heat is already showing up in Europe's harvest. A June heatwave wiped out more than €2bn worth of grain crops, with France and Hungary hit hardest, according to former NBU governor turned analyst Kyrylo Shevchenko. And this degradation of crops was before massive wildfires broke out in France and Spain that continue to rage out of control. Last year a record of more than one million hectares of land was burnt by wildfires; this year that record looks very likely to be broken again. In the four weeks following the heatwave, EU and UK grain production forecasts were cut by nearly 9mn tonnes, as scorching temperatures struck wheat during its critical grain-filling stage across central and southern France, southern Germany, Austria, Poland and Hungary, with spring barley suffering even more damage than winter varieties. That crop damage adds a fresh source of food-price inflation risk to an already strained European economy, layering an agricultural shock on top of the energy-market disruption caused by the wars in the Middle East and Ukraine. The closure of the Strait of Hormuz choked off one of the world’s major suppliers of fertiliser just as the planting season got underway that will reduce yields by as much as a third. And the escalating tit-for-tat missile war in Ukraine saw both Russian and Ukrainian ports shut down this week just ahead of the harvest season; between them the two warring countries account for a third of the world’s tradable grain. And the disaster is not over. In fact it's only just getting underway as El Niño is expected to peak this autumn or spill over in to the beginning of next year when its temperature rises will reach their highest level.dlvr.it

Yemen says drones hit Saudi crude lines to Yanbu, Riyadh blames Iraq #Yemen #SaudiArabia #Drones #CrudeOil #Yanbu

Yemen says drones hit Saudi crude lines to Yanbu, Riyadh blames IraqYemen's armed forces said they targeted crude transfer points linking eastern Saudi Arabia to the Red Sea port of Yanbu with drones, in a claim disputed by Riyadh, which said it intercepted drones launched from Iraq. WHAT: Saudi Arabia said its air defences destroyed several drones aimed at oil facilities in the Eastern Province and Riyadh, while Yemen's armed forces claimed responsibility for striking crude infrastructure feeding Yanbu. WHY: Yemen's forces cast the attack as retaliation for alleged Saudi drone incursions, whereas Riyadh blamed Iran-backed militias operating from Iraqi territory. WHAT NEXT: Saudi Arabia said it reserved the right to respond at a time and place of its choosing, with damage from the attacks unconfirmed. Yemen's armed forces said they targeted crude transfer points used to move oil from the east of Saudi Arabia to Yanbu, on the Red Sea coast, with a number of drones, spokesman Yahya Saree said, according to Al Masirah on July 27. Saree said the operation called "sacred Jihad" or holy war was a response to what he described as Saudi drone violations of Yemeni airspace. Yemen's armed forces are run by the Houthi movement, which is not recognised as Yemen's government by foreign states but has controlled the capital Sanaa and much of the north for several years. Saudi Arabia gave a different account. Defence ministry spokesman Turki Al-Maliki said air defences intercepted and destroyed several drones that attempted to target oil facilities in the Eastern Province and the Riyadh region, and that the attempted strikes were launched from Iraqi territory by Iran-backed militias. The foreign ministry issued a separate statement condemning the attack and blaming Iran-backed groups in Iraq. Al-Maliki said the kingdom reserved the right to respond at a time and place of its choosing. No casualties or material damage were officially reported. Unverified social-media footage and satellite imagery pointed to fires at Saudi oil sites, but this was not confirmed by the authorities. The competing claims followed Houthi missile and drone strikes on Aramco facilities at Jizan and Yanbu on July 25, the group's first direct attack on Saudi oil infrastructure since 2022. The attacks came two days after the United States suspended a two-week campaign of airstrikes against Iran. Saudi Arabia, Jordan and Iraq all reported drone attacks the same day. Yanbu has gained strategic importance since the closure of the Strait of Hormuz earlier this year forced Saudi Arabia to reroute crude across the country via its East-West Pipeline to Red Sea export terminals.dlvr.it

Lebanese prime minister arrives in Iraq to advance Kirkuk-Tripoli pipeline talks #Lebanon #Iraq #KirkukTripoliPipeline #EnergySecurity #MiddleEastRelations

Lebanese prime minister arrives in Iraq to advance Kirkuk-TripoliLebanese Prime Minister Nawaf Salam arrived in Baghdad July 26 to advance energy cooperation with Iraq, with the revival of the Kirkuk-Tripoli crude oil pipeline emerging as the centrepiece of talks. The debate around the Kirkuk-Tripoli pipeline arose following an Iraqi-Syrian agreement to rehabilitate the Haditha-Banias oil pipeline signed earlier as part of a push to reconnect Iraq to the the Levantine energy grids. The Kirkuk-Tripoli pipeline, which runs from Iraq's Kirkuk oilfields through Syrian territory to the Lebanese port of Tripoli, has been dormant for decades. With Iraq and Syria already signing a memorandum of understanding to revive the Kirkuk-Banias leg, the Beirut-Baghdad discussions are aimed at extending that momentum to Lebanon, reconnecting the country to regional energy infrastructure within a framework that, according to Lebanese officials, carries US backing. Salam was accompanied by Finance Minister Yassin Jaber, Energy and Water Minister Joe Sadek, and Telecommunications Minister Charles Hajj. Following bilateral meetings with Iraqi Prime Minister Ali al-Zaidi, Nida Al-Watan quoted Salam as saying that Lebanon "is determined to move forward with strengthening strategic connectivity and integration projects with the countries of the region in various sectors, particularly energy, telecommunications, and transportation." Al-Zaidi affirmed Iraq's commitment to developing the relationship and supporting regional stability. The visit also covers an extension of the existing Iraqi fuel supply agreement that served as a critical lifeline for Lebanon during its energy and financial crisis, keeping power plants operational at a time when the country had few alternatives. The pipeline revival sits within accelerating regional energy diplomacy involving Iraq, Syria, Lebanon and Turkey, and comes as Lebanon and Iraq both move to consolidate weapons under state control, a parallel process that frames the economic agenda in explicitly political terms. Iraq's cabinet earlier authorised the chief executive of Basra Oil Company to sign a memorandum of understanding (MoU) between Iraq's Oil Ministry and Syria's Energy Ministry to develop an oil pipeline linking Iraqi crude production to global export markets through the Mediterranean Sea, INA reported on July 27. The decision, approved during a cabinet meeting chaired by Prime Minister Ali Faleh al-Zaidi, forms part of a broader package of measures aimed at developing Iraq's oil and gas sector and attracting investment.dlvr.it

Kazakhstan’s Tokayev explicitly urges Putin to “freeze” Ukraine war in face to face talks #Kazakhstan #Tokayev #Putin #UkraineWar #InternationalRelations

Kazakhstan’s Tokayev explicitly urges Putin to “freeze” Ukraine warKazakhstan’s leader Kassym-Jomart Tokayev urged Russia’s Vladimir Putin to “freeze” the war in Ukraine and stated that his country “does not understand its nature”, speaking during televised talks held in Omsk, Siberia, on July 25. Kazakhstan has not previously spoken out against the conflict explicitly, but President Tokayev left Putin in no doubt that he believes the war, in its fifth year, “should be frozen”. His words will add to pressure on the Russian leader, who faces difficulties caused by Ukraine’s ever improving ability to conduct missile and drone strikes deep inside Russia. “It is tragic, of course, that young people are dying. They are the gene pool of the brotherly peoples of Russia and Ukraine,” Tokayev also told Putin at the meeting in Omsk, held as part of an inter-regional cooperation forum. He said he had decided to relay “his humble opinion” because he had received a request to deliver a message, though he did not specify who made the request. Ex-Soviet Kazakhstan aims to maintain good relations with all the major powers under its multi-vector foreign policy, but the Central Asia country is one of Russia’s few allies that has some real sway with the Kremlin. In May, Kazakhstan welcomed Putin for a second state visit in two years. In his televised discussions with Putin, Tokayev said the fighting should be halted and negotiations resumed on the basis of the Istanbul framework. "Perhaps the conflict should be frozen and we should return to the Istanbul Agreements 2.0, of course, under the guarantee of great powers," Tokayev said. Reflecting that "the nature of this conflict is not entirely clear to many, including us", he contrasted it with the Armenia-Azerbaijan conflict, which he described as having well-established historical roots. 'Not an offer of mediation' Tokayev stressed that he was not offering to mediate between Moscow and Kyiv. "I categorically refuse to be a mediator," he said, adding that as a “great power” Russia was capable of resolving the issue without intermediaries. Putin did not publicly respond to Tokayev’s proposal during the meeting but said he would brief Tokayev on developments regarding what the Kremlin calls the "Ukrainian track". Later, Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov rejected the suggestion of freezing the war, saying "a freeze is impossible", adding: “Our overriding condition is that we must achieve our objectives.” Tokayev also said Putin had shown "maximum diplomatic flexibility" during his meeting with US President Donald Trump in Alaska in 2025 and reiterated Kazakhstan's commitment to strategic cooperation with Russia. Ukraine welcomed Tokayev's remarks. Acting Foreign Minister Andrii Sybiha described the proposal as "a realistic, timely, and wise message" in a post on social media on July 26. "Ukraine has proposed stopping the war along current frontlines and turning to diplomacy, but the Kremlin continues to reject this clear path to peace," Sybiha wrote, adding that Russia should face greater pressure to accept realistic peace proposals. Balancing act In a balancing act, Kazakhstan has stuck to close ties with Russia during the war years while refusing to recognise the Russian-backed separatist entities in eastern Ukraine and repeatedly affirming Ukraine's sovereignty. Tokayev's unusually direct remarks in Omsk represented his clearest public appeal to Putin since Russia launched its full-scale invasion of Ukraine. Although he has consistently avoided directly condemning Putin or the invasion, he has repeatedly distanced Kazakhstan from several key Kremlin positions. Tokayev’s statements follow a series of Ukrainian attacks that have reached further into Russian territory, damaging major oil refineries and facilities belonging to Wildberries, Russia's largest ecommerce company, known as “Russia’s Amazon”. Western leaders have intensified their criticism of Moscow. Earlier this month, US President Donald Trump told Putin that "it's time to stop." Kazakhstan shares the world’s longest continuous border (at a length of 7,600 kilometres or 4,722 miles) with Russia. Many observers in Kazakhstan worry that Kazakh territories, which once formed part of the Russian Empire, could become another target for Moscow if it was to triumph over Ukraine. However, recent events have increasingly demonstrated that the Kremlin might be losing its geopolitical leverage over other ex-Soviet states, including Kazakhstan. Among developments is Kazakhstan’s introduction of a measure that from July 27 that places a six-month ban on most wheat imports, a blow to Russia. Rising pressure on Kazakh oil exports The war, meanwhile, continues to impact Kazakhstan’s economy. Around 80% of the country’s oil exports pass through the Caspian Pipeline Consortium (CPC) route that runs to the Russian Black Sea coast. It has faced renewed drone attacks in recent weeks. Kazakhstan has temporarily cut oil production since loading was suspended at the CPC in the wake of recent attacks. Kazakhstan responded to four drone strikes on tankers – carried out in proximity to export transit infrastructure that receives Kazakh oil shipped by the CPC – that took place over four days, from July 17 to 20, saying they undermined global energy security and were an “unacceptable infringement upon the economic interests of the Republic of Kazakhstan”. However, Ukraine's Ambassador to Kazakhstan, Viktor Mayko, denied Ukraine carried out the drone strikes in comments made to The Times of Central Asia. Mayko was quoted as saying that Ukraine understood Kazakhstan's concerns over the attacks but stressed that there was no evidence linking Kyiv to the four incidents. Kyiv suggested that the attacks were actually false flag operations run by Russian military drone units.dlvr.it
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