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Mav Wreck

Профиль Vively

No-one of consequence. Also MavwreckTweet at the former bird site, and MavwreckTweet@masto.ai on Mastodon.

Are you talking about Michigan or Pennsylvania?

100

Al-Sayed will face a knife fight (at best!) if this win holds, and will draw near-infinite spend against him from GOP donors.

310

You are wildly underestimating the effectiveness of racism and religious discrimination in a swing state. You’re also wildly underestimating the danger of a “socialist” tag in a swing state if the candidate embraces it.

100

I don’t think we should worry about Detroit voters swinging Republican. We do need to worry about Detroit voters deciding to sit this one out. That’s roughly what happened in 2016 to Hillary in Philly.

1110

I think there are plenty of moderate Democrats who (a) don’t like socialist policies either, or (b) are afraid that progressive candidates cannot win swing states.

200

I suspect most people don’t have an easy way to view the amount of water they’re using on an hour-by-hour basis.

200

Wait…so is Trump’s war strategy just “line only go up”?

290

The problem with relying on young voters is that they’re…unreliable. 

020

I’m not sure which is better…the name Carter Kieboom (especially for a slugger) or that his dad played in the Honkbal Hoofdklasse.

020

Soldiers in CENTCOM HQ to Hegseth: READ! THEORY!

000

Sounds like a typical Diaz heart-attack save!

000

They may have some reason for voting for these candidates beyond agreeing with them. If I’m being charitable, I’d say it’s to preserve what little collegiality is left, or to seem fair to swing voters. It could just be old-fashioned log-rolling, though. 🙁

100

I wonder if the big problem is that their vote doesn’t actually matter. These candidates would be confirmed if every Democrat voted against them. Voting against the candidates gets them some credibility with the base for fighting, but that probably doesn’t help much in the long run.

100

Because Democrats have no leverage and no control of the institutions that let the GOP ignore the laws. Democrats also value the norms and rules that Republicans are throwing away.

000

Unfortunately, union members have been voting further to the right than union leadership/endorsements.

050

2. If we look at post-World War II history, the best success in stopping the far right has come from a “popular front” of unified cross-party support. This has almost always been led by the center left or center right. The far left just can’t seem to pull that coalition together.

100

Given the consequences of a loss (Trump remaining unfettered for two more years), Dem moderates don’t want to risk it. I’d add two points: 1. Even if progressives win in swing states this election, how would they do in a cycle that doesn’t have such strong headwinds for the GOP?

100

We have yet to see a progressive win a statewide election in a swing state against a “normal” GOP opponent. (I’m adding that last part because, even if you counted Fetterman as a progressive at the time, he was still running against Dr. Oz.) Is it possible that things have changed? Yes. But…

100

Platforms are generally aspirational rather than definitive plans.

100
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