Подтвердите e-mail

Для публикаций, комментариев, реакций и сообщений подтвердите адрес.

Профиль

Ian M. Mackay, PhD (he/him) 🦠🤧🧬📑🦟🧀

Профиль Vively

forever virologist but not a working one. past researcher. PCR guy. past lab manager. husband. dad. reader. writer. fixer. bad typist. learner. australian. #MasksWork https://virologydownunder.com/

I did see it. Thoroughly enjoyed it. I reckon is have enjoyed it with a whole different set of actors but 🤷. Love the chemistry Holland and Bernthal have. Led to some LOL moments in Spider-Man.

010

What an excellent watch. Made with Spider-Man knowledge, heart, love and care. Punisher and Spidey exchanges were pure gold. Webswinging & suit at its best. Fight scenes were top notch. Best Hulk in ages.

1110

Ascertainment, yes. I took it as now testing more cases that die/go on to die, rather than missing those deaths from testing because deaths were not revealed to authorities or could not (for various reasons) be tested. Those on the ground will have a better idea of the answer here.

010

Oops. Forgot lab stuff. On the lab front, the number of samples received that are not tested _that_ day has stayed low, and the total has once topped 400. Testing numbers have slowly built, perhaps reflecting ⬆️capacity, ⬆️ability to sample or a growing caseload.

081

The data for these graphs come almost entirely from the hardworking team at the National Institute of Public Health in the Democratic Republic of the Congo. My thanks for keeping us all informed🙏 insp.cd/category/sit...

SitRep – Institut National de Sante Publiqueinsp.cd
1141

TOTAL (blue dots) and confirmed case accumulation. Onwards and upwards, with an increase in daily case numbers (green bars) signalling worrying, uninterrupted levels of transmission.

1125

The contact tracing proportion remains too low at 80% (bars), so a fifth of contacts are not getting messaging or surveillance. Once sick, they may take longer to receive care, decreasing their chance of survival. I've marked (yellow dash) the step up in new cases per 24hours (boxes)

141

The difference between the total #Ebola (Orthoebolavirus bundibugyoense) cases (suspected + confirmed) and the confirmed cases is, once again, neither increasing nor decreasing dramatically after a step-up in late June.

130

And these are the numbers underpinning all that. You can see that jump in cumulative confirmed cases/deaths after the 22nd. Again, suggests data cleaning. Deaths are mostly (6 of past 9 reports ≥50%) happening in the community.

121

So the time to reach the latest 500 cases has dropped to the shortest time so far (<5days). If this isn't data cleaning, maybe better case detection among contacts, but contact tracing hasn't improved. Perhaps those contacts who have been reached are reporting a LOT of cases.🤷

131

And because of the leap, we've leapt right over some of the "100s", so we have three zero days-to-reach-the-next-100-confirmed-cases days. Bad news. We haven't see 100 cases take longer than 2 days to accumulate over the last 1,000 cases.

151

This one highlights the surge - 97 new confirmed cases were reported on the 22nd, but the total confirmed cases jumped 369.🤷Deaths increased 236 despite only 97 added in that day's report. Data cleaning presumably?

131
Показать ещё