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Профиль

Kevin Bonham

Профиль Vively

Psephologist, polling analyst and poll transparency advocate, political commentator, ecologist, chess player/admin. No party loyalties. Not-A-Pollster.

Actually provided Group Ticket Voting is abolished as is underway the number of parties in the upper house will almost certainly fall. Treating the Coalition as two parties, there were 11 elected in 2018 and 10 in 2022. It could easily be just 5 or 6 this year. #springst

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Interesting, why is a Vic ALP Senator appearing jointly with a Tas Greens Senator at a JSCEM hearing in Hobart?

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#auspol #JSCEM hearing schedule for Hobart on Wed released. Two senators, [insert self-deprecating remark], three members of UTAS' Tasmanian Policy Exchange including a former Clarence mayor, and @kevinbonham.bsky.social. Just ignore the guy in slot 2, not important at all.

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Gosling case: "The court heard new details of the alleged assaults, which it is claimed occurred about 30 minutes apart and allegedly included a hip and shoulder charge and an elbow to the torso." www.ntnews.com.au/truecrimeaus... ($)

www.ntnews.com.au
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While we've had our eyes on Victoria this week, #nswpol has been doing its usual thing ... ICAC ... archive.md/ARpVu

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Went to the redistribution in-person hearing today, there were very few speakers given the level of submissions in last round. They had yellow and red cards for speaking time! #politas

1193

Bernie Finn not contesting this year's Victorian election, so some voters may have to think harder now about who to put last. #springst

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One Nation assembling in strength in their strongest vote getting areas again I see.

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Lily D'Ambrosio not recontesting. Vacancy of 24 year (!) incumbent in Mill Park (ALP 11.6%, possible ON target) #springst

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Party registration news (Vic): the VEC has received an application to register a party called Reform Australia with the registered officer to be Geoff Shaw (presumably the ex Frankston MP) #springst

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Liberal Ripon stuffup: one dead and two ex-members (including one previously falsely reported as dead) wrongly listed as active preselectors. #springst www.abc.net.au/news/2026-07...

Liberals registered dead and ex-members as preselectors for key seatA leaked Liberal Party spreadsheet has revealed that one dead person and two ex-members were registered as preselectors for a vote in a key seat for the upcoming Victorian election.www.abc.net.au
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🚨🚨🚨Luke Gosling (Solomon ALP 1.3%) ARRESTED in relation to alleged assault on NT Administrator (which he denies). #ntpol www.abc.net.au/news/2026-07...

Breaking: Federal Labor MP Luke Gosling arrested by NT Police over alleged assaultFederal Labor MP Luke Gosling has been arrested by NT Police over an alleged assault on NT Administrator David Connolly at a Thai festival earlier this month. Mr Gosling remains in custody.www.abc.net.au
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The Bill to abolish Group Ticket Voting has been introduced in the Victorian Legislative Council, passed first reading, second reading speech incorporated into Hansard, adjourned "for a week". #springst

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#politas Assembly voting patterns analysis! Would be nice to see an agreement matrix but looks like Labor land in the centre of a spectrum running from Liberals to Greens (unlike in the LegCo where they have a far higher agreement %age with the Liberals) archive.md/yJgJB

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I understand the fake Free Palestine party (Yemini, not to be confused with the Free Palestine Party) has passed membership testing for the Vic election. Next step is whether VEC approves its name. #springst

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Hanson has not been in parliament for 30 years. She has been in parliament for approaching 13 years total, with the first few of those starting 30 years ago.

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Bill to abolish Group Ticket Voting has unanimously passed the Victorian lower house. #springst

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Tim Read (GRN, Brunswick) who has been fantastic on group ticket voting is currently giving his valedictory speech. #springst

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Group Ticket Voting second reading "debate" (actually could well be unanimous in the assembly) is on now. Looks like it is going through Assembly today and Council tomorrow. #springst

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Buckle up for vetting fails and general 🍿 - Hanson says One Nation to announce about 75 Vic candidates Friday or next week. www.news24.com.au/politics/aus...

One Nation reveals candidate surge ahead of Victorian electionPauline Hanson has revealed One Nation has identified candidates for up to 76 Victorian seats ahead of the state election after receiving thousands of expressions of interest.www.news24.com.au
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Crispin Hull is usually wrong and this article is no exception, it contains numerous errors. archive.md/bH7QK

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