National politics reporter at semafor.com. Alum: WashPost, Bloomberg, Slate, Reason. Author of “The Show That Never Ends.”
I personally need to be more skeptical of internal candidate/PAC polling. When I've passed on some, I always see it with a competitor, which isn't fun. But there was some polling that made it look like Stevens was down 15+ points that really bent coverage.
G Elliott MorrisLooks like a 10-15 point polling miss in Michigan regardless of who wins. And people have been writing a lot of electability takes using this data. It’s dangerous out there folks be safe
Yeah, an important thing to remember about Miller is that he's a fairly dumb guy (six years to finish a state school BA - remember the joke from Tommy Boy) who landed in Congress bc he worked for Trump and Trump needed someone to take an impeachment AYE republican's seat
Adia Bentonthis man went from Lululemon + some DUI/simple assault, nothing on his CV, to White House and Congress; I'm thinking he's feeling a bit too confident about his chances of getting through this
Glad I own this soundtrack on CD, it never seems to be streaming.
Meagan NavarroYour periodic reminder that Velvet Goldmine is back on Criterion Channel, rightfully under the "Rock biopics that don't suck" category.
The "nearly orgasmic" part is just Freud, who I'm sure also ate a lot of sauerkraut.
Ben CollinsOh my god the dietician who is telling everyone in the White House to only eat steak and sauerkraut doesn't wipe his ass.
This is convincing. Every Dem is going to get asked about the shiny new thing (or old tweet) from a left-wing Dem candidate. I do think the incentives are different for someone running on same ballot as, say, Abdul (Hilary Scholten) and some candidate just being tied to the left (Cait Conley).
Aaron RuparNew in PN: Moderate Democrats have a choice to make "They can spend the next three months reinforcing Republican messaging about their party & making it less likely Dems take power. Or they can put the 'battle for the soul of the party' off for a while and do what they can to help their party win."
Been thinking this in regards to the SAVE America Act. Most likely it fails. But if Rs get some version of a bill that looked "dead" bc the president never shuts the fuck up about it and signs EOs to kludge it until his party passes a version of it.. you'd be stupid not to copy that!
Chris HayesSomething I think that underlies a lot of debates within the Democratic party and center-left right now is whether or not you think Trumpism has been successful as a political and ideological project. (Not, obviously, whether it's been good or not).
It's useful to think of MSM news in PR terms. PR people fight to get as many column inches for their client as possible and as few inches that make them look bad. This week, the big Fox stories were Fauci and DSA. Iran war? What Iran war?
Don MoynihanSome data points on the right-wing obsession with Fauci. He was: *mentioned 687 on Fox News and 740 times on Newsmax in a four day period. *compared to Hitler and Epstein, and declared a mass murderer by multiple prominent right wing media stars who called for his imprisonment.
It's pretty clear by now that the biggest Hasan Sin - that he joked "America deserved 9/11" one time - bounces off most voters. Like it or not, people make and laugh at offensive humor. Most don't hear that Hasan quote and sing "Have You Forgotten?" They say, "lol good irony."
Leah McElrathThey’re also weirdly obsessed with Hasan Piker and even making demands for his denunciation. It’s all extremely illiberal and about as far from progressivism as you can get while still claiming to be left of center. Very odd to watch play out, but helpful to see them show themselves, I guess.
