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This thread is excellent - but it’s somehow worse than you can imagine. What Trump is doing here is betting against Americans in the stock market. Let us explain how he’s doing this 👇

Trump does so much crazy, corrupt shit that things can get lost. Last week, Truth Social announced a truly breathtaking pay-to-play scam that will allow Trump and all of his rich friends to get even richer, while everyone else is left holding the bag. messagebox.substack.com/p/trumps-mos...

Trump’s speech was incoherent, poorly delivered, and pretty dangerous. It was an act of complete political malpractice that will only exacerbate his immense political problems. www.messageboxnews.com/p/trumps-spe...

Democrats tend to think politics is a contest of ideas, or a race to see who can knock on the most doors, but today’s politics is information warfare, pure and simple. Trump and the GOP are trying to take over the media; it's time Dems started fighting back. www.messageboxnews.com/p/trumps-stu...

Yesterday, Mallory McMorrow suspended her campaign, shaking up the most interesting and consequential primary in the country. Here are my thoughts on why her campaign didn't take off, what happens next, and the coming electability debate over Abdul El-Sayed. www.messageboxnews.com/p/michigan-a...

The polls are looking really bad for Trump and really good for Democrats, but can we trust the polls or are Democrats headed for yet another poll-induced heartbreak this Fall? Here are some thoughts on the reliability of polling in 2026 and beyond. www.messageboxnews.com/p/can-we-tru...

Tuesday night's election results have sent shockwaves through the political system. Should the establishment panic? Are Dems really embracing socialism? Is the party moving left? Here are my answers to those important questions. www.messageboxnews.com/p/making-sen...

Republicans desperately hope a deal with Iran will get done, the Strait of Hormuz will open, and voters will forget that Trump started (and lost) the dumbest war in history. That is wishful thinking. Here’s why the Iran War will hurt the GOP in November: www.messageboxnews.com/p/why-the-ir...

Something very dangerous happened last week, and it flew under the radar. Fox News is buying Roku, which will allow the Murdochs to control the home screens of 20% of the country's TVs. This has the potential to be very bad for democracy. Here's why: messagebox.substack.com/p/the-media-...

Barack Obama's library opens today. A lot has changed since he came on the scene, but there is still a lot Dems can learn from Obama messagebox.substack.com/p/what-today...

Despite all of the focus on ads, podcasts, and messaging, elections are decided by the big forces that shape American life. Here are the four forces that will determine the midterms this fall messagebox.substack.com/p/the-four-f...

By endorsing Ken Paxton, Trump gave Democrats a massive gift. 2026 will be our best shot to win Texas in a generation. Here’s why www.messageboxnews.com/p/the-case-f...

Trump, his allies, and some credulous reporters are celebrating his big win over Thomas Massie (in a district Trump won by 35 points). They may have won this battle, but Trump and the GOP will likely pay a steep price for Trump's vengeance tour. Here's why: www.messageboxnews.com/p/everyone-t...

The brand new NYT poll points towards a shellacking for the Republicans, driven by Trump’s putrid political standing, an unpopular war with Iran, and anger about his economic policies. www.messageboxnews.com/p/the-new-ny...

Thank you so much. I am so excited about this project - a subscription service for people who work in communications and politics at any level. Get access to strategic guidance, polling analysis, messaging and communications guidance, and access to an incredible community of political pros.

Enjoyable quote from @danpfeiffer.bsky.social Nail. Head. open.substack.com/pub/messageb...

The Virginia Supreme Court's ruling is a gut punch. There is no sugarcoating it. But all is not lost; Democrats can still win the House and are at least slight favorites to do so. Here's why: www.messageboxnews.com/p/the-virgin...

@danpfeiffer.bsky.social with a great message memo for Democrats on "misplaced Republican priorities—tax cuts for the rich, forever wars in the Middle East, and ballrooms for political and moneyed elites." And Trump is helping. He "can't shut up" about the ballroom. open.substack.com/pub/messageb...

I can’t emphasize this enough. Trump’s ballroom is incredibly unpopular. People think it’s a dumb, decadent distraction. And now, Republicans want to spend your taxpayer dollars to build it. This is a midterm gift to Democrats www.messageboxnews.com/publish/post...

All of the headlines say that the Supreme Court just limited the Voting Rights Act. That’s wrong. The Court gave the GOP the permission to racially gerrymander. Here’s what it means www.messageboxnews.com/p/the-suprem...