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Burnham Down The House

Профиль Vively

🤯 woke degree holder read takes at https://electioncord.com/

MAHA is the Republican youth movement...

Burnham Down The House

as you know, I look over election results obsessively. Here is the county with Ames, Iowa (home of ISU) in the 2026 Gov primary Lahn is the MAHA candidate, Feenstra was Trump-endorsed establishment Lahn clearly did better on EDay with students at Iowa State. We see this pretty much everywhere.

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Another controversial polling trend is that RFK Jr. massively overperforms Trump with nonwhite and young voters...DFP had RFK overperforming Trump's favorables by 14 pts, but almost all of it was nonwhite young people. www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2026/4/...

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Alright, as a polling guy I do have to say MAHA polls, at best, -50 with Democrats generally and closer to -70 with the more engaged electorate…among “non-supporters of MAHA” (e.g. high-engaged Dems) it’s -73 lol docs.google.com/viewerng/vie...

dfp_314_rfk_watch_tabs.pdfdocs.google.com
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El-Sayed, unsurprisingly to anyone who’s followed him, is very pro-Ukraine here

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Regionalist aura farming and devolution are a bit dangerous to add to the US discussion, but I wonder if more and more politicians will start doing it as populism becomes the default mode. Except so far it's solely been a right-wing idea, like the moronic "put the Park Service in Utah" bit.

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I like how Burnham has been able to shamelessly exploit regional differences to win, half of his messaging is "London SUCKS and has too much power". And people buy into it. Imagine running a US campaign on "it's time to create West Coast Washington ".

Europe Elects

UK, Opinium poll: LAB-S&D: 27% (+5) REFORM~NI: 23% CON~ECR: 17% (-3) LDEM-RE: 12% (+1) GREENS-G/EFA: 12% (-2) SNP-G/EFA: 3% PC-G/EFA: 1% +/- vs. 15-17 July 2026 Fieldwork: 29-31 July 2026 Sample size: 2,050 ➤ europeelects.eu/uk

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well, cell phone bans in school will be another thing people love and then hate

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Adley to Boston is satanic

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Very in-depth analysis from @electioncord.com on why progressives shouldn’t doom over South Carolina going first in 2028 (or, conversely, why you need a plan to win over Latino voters to get the nomination) electioncord.com/the-new-earl...

The New Early States in 2028: What Faction Benefits?electioncord.com
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TIL parts of South Carolina are called The Lowcountry Westeros ass name

ElectionCord

NOW OUT: I looked at all the states the DNC Rules and Bylaws Committee voted to be the new batch of early states and gave a demographic and electoral overview of them, as well as what faction in the Democratic Party will have an edge. LINK: electioncord.com/the-new-earl...

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Alright, what day will the Second Ave Subway be completed? No wrong answers January 1, 2035

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otoh the establishment is often so stupid that I also feel zero sympathy

Dj

This is exactly what I meant by this btw Gillibrand is *DSCC Chair* and this is so craven while also being incompetent it’s honestly kind of funny She & Schumer wanted to push McMorrow out, but if MM is a socialist, why wouldn’t her support flow to AES?

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Late night Sunday thought is I don’t enjoy reveling in the “establishment” defeat all that often. Also, of everyone, AOC and Zohran are the only ones acting like they’ve been there before

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The Mets are blowing up the team while I’m present at Citi, you love to see that

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Dang, almost surprised Moreno did something

Sahil Kapur

Sen. Bernie Moreno finally speaks out on Rep. Max Miller: “If there are any basic standards of character required to hold elected office, Max Miller fails them. He should not serve in the House of Representatives.”

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It took a solid 14 years for me to realize Ice from Arrested Development is a joke name from ICE’s creation while the show was happening

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