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Reminder: horserace surveys about the SC senate primary assume that the pollster can predict who will turn out in a Rep. special election primary in Aug 🤔 There's a reason most pollsters won't touch this w/ a 10-foot poll. The same thing will be doubly true when this goes to a runoff.

County boards in 80 of NC’s 100 counties have come to unanimous agreement on early-voting plans for November. Here’s a quick, top-line comparison with the plans used in 2022, the last midterm general election. More analysis and a write-up to follow. #ncpol #electionadministration

13 congressional seat rating changes by Kyle Kondik at UVa's Center for Poliics, including #nc11 & #nc1, which they now rate as toss-ups. centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/... #ncpol

www.foxnews.com/politics/fox... #ncpol

Fox News Poll: Democratic enthusiasm shapes North Carolina Senate raceRoy Cooper leads Michael Whatley by 9 points in North Carolina's Senate race, but an enthusiasm gap and Trump's favorability could reshape the contest.www.foxnews.com

Had a hard time deciding on book club books for my Parties, Campaigns & Elections class (so many good books!) but ultimately came up w these 5 bangers.

I wouldn't call it likely, but it's certainly possible that the Democrats take the Senate and Fetterman changes parties and flips it back. www.nbcnews.com/politics/con...

As Republicans invite him to defect, Fetterman wonders if Democrats still want him in the party“If the Democratic caucus doesn’t want me, they could just let me know,” a frustrated Fetterman told NBC News, lamenting “the very anti-Israel party that we’re becoming.”www.nbcnews.com

Just saw my first #nc11 ad of the season--an anti-Chuck Edwards ad by American Bridge, a Super PAC that supports Democratic candidates. Ad focused entirely on Helene. #ncpol

New post up: The Billion Dollar Election That Hasn't Happened, and a Few Other Items (including more campaign finance, the changing primary calendar, and the Tour de France) chriscooperwcu.substack.com/p/the-billio... #ncpol

The Billion-Dollar Race That Hasn't Happened, and a Few Other ItemsIt's 99 days before election day; buckle up.chriscooperwcu.substack.com

Just got a second #nc11 survey in as many weeks. Will be curious to see if either gets released. Usual battery--Trump, issue importance, some negatives on each, etc. #ncpol

Cooper/Whatley--the billion dollar election that hasn't happened. In @theassemblync.bsky.social #ncpol www.theassemblync.com/news/politic...

The Billion-Dollar Election That Hasn’t HappenedNorth Carolina’s U.S. Senate race was expected to shatter records. So far, the money—and the intrigue—have gone elsewhere.www.theassemblync.com

I will vote for any candidate who makes it a felony to lean an airplane seat back without checking the height of the person behind them. I’ll donate the federal max if they remove the recline button altogether And yes, this post is inspired by current events that have resulted in extreme knee pain.

Hell of a quote from Lindsey Graham in @smotus.bsky.social’s Elephants in the Room

www.axios.com/2026/07/20/c... #nc11 #ncpol

Scoop: Rep. Chuck Edwards gifted pink and blue handguns to young female staffersOne staffer received a blue handgun engraved with her name. Another received a pink handgun.www.axios.com

Scott Huffmon at the Winthrop Poll has a Substack. His first post is about public opinion on Lindsey Graham and it's predictably insightful If you have any interest in #scpol, public opinion, or southern politics, give this piece a read & Scott a follow open.substack.com/pub/winthrop...

SC Public Opinion and the Late Lindsey GrahamSenator Graham had a complicated relationship with his fellow South Carolina Republicans, to say the least.open.substack.com

The 2nd quarter fundraising numbers are in & they provide more evidence that North Carolina's 11th congressional district--where the Reps have won 7 elections in a row--might be competitive in '26. Here's the story in 5 graphs. ⬇️ #ncpol #nc11 #wncpol open.substack.com/pub/chriscoo...

NC-11 Fundraising in Five GraphsThe latest numbers offer the clearest evidence yet that the district that sent Mark Meadows and Madison Cawthorn to Congress may now host North Carolina’s most competitive House race.open.substack.com

How Lindsey Graham’s ability to read the moment propelled him to political relevance for 3 decades theconversation.com/how-lindsey-...

How Lindsey Graham’s keen ability to read the moment propelled him to political relevance for 3 decadesSen. Graham repeatedly moved in the direction South Carolina and Republican politics were headed rather than where they had been.theconversation.com

Someone is polling in #nc11. Fairly lengthy survey, including contrast questions on both candidates.

A few thoughts on the process to replace Lindsey Graham who passed away last night.* Basics: The Governor (Henry McMaster) gets to appoint someone to fulfill the rest of Graham's term (up this yr), then there's a special election, the winner of which will run in November 🤏🧵

Fascinating article in so many ways. "Thompson [Jackson County election board chair] said he sees his role on the Board as one where he works for the Republican party." nclocal.org/2026/07/10/t... #ncpol #electionadministration

Elections liaison position in state auditor's office discontinued, Dallas Woodhouse reassignedThe elections liaison position was eliminated after text messages from Dallas Woodhouse to local boards of elections were revealed. NC Local spoke with Jackson County Board of Elections Chair Bill Tho...nclocal.org

"So don't take it for granted, say grandfather's Immigrant Eyes"- Guy Clark www.youtube.com/watch?v=KTGl...

Guy Clark - "Immigrant Eyes" [Live from Austin, TX]YouTube video by Live From Austin TXwww.youtube.com