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Профиль

Charles Kenny

Профиль Vively

Fellow at the Center for Global Development, author of Getting Better and The Plague Cycle. (CGD doesn't have institutional positions, so don't blame it for mine).

New blog: Use New Philanthropy for a Maximum Vaccination Strategy Hopefully there's about to be a lot more effective-altruist-adjacent philanthropic money around. My pitch on spending it: vaccinate everyone against everything all the time....

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This seems... perfectly reasonable? World Bank will lend up to $2bn to China over next five years, but probably not lend after that (by which time the country should be clearly into high income status). finance.yahoo.com/economy/poli...

World Bank confirms plan to phase out China lending by 2031The World Bank on Thursday confirmed that it plans to phase out its lending to China by 2031, according to the organization's new country partnership framework (CPF) for the world's second-largest eco...finance.yahoo.com
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A new note for CGD: Beyond Belt and Road: Responding to the Evolution of China’s Financing for Infrastructure. China has pretty much given up on finance for publicly owned infrastructure.

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A quick note on the impact of the Trump administration ending Temporary Protective Status for 350,000 immigrants from Haiti today.

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This is just wrong. Most World Bank IDA countries are above the IDA threshold ($1,325 GNI/capita), meant to preserve scarce concessional financing for the poorest countries. Countries below the threshold got just 54 percent of IDA resources.

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New article for the German journal Welternährung: How Emigration Can Lift Developing Countries www.welthungerhilfe.org/global-food-...

How Emigration Can Lift Developing CountriesDevelopment models based on industrialisation and export are a thing of the past. In future, strategies for the migration of labor are required - which benefit both countries of origin and high income...www.welthungerhilfe.org
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New note with (largely by) @euanaritchie.bsky.social: Any Change to ODA Eligibility Should Lower the Graduation Criteria and Account for Purchasing Power The OECD DAC coalition of donors is thinking about redefining ODA, including the income threshold. That threshold should be lower.

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Survey suggests 60 percent of funded startup founders in Africa have studied or worked outside Africa. Emigration is a growth strategy. www.nber.org/papers/w35261

Startups in AfricaFounded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...www.nber.org
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All the trade not aid language rings more than a bit hollow when you are slapping tariffs left and right and stopping people coming to make deals.

PBS News

The almost 50 U.S. embassies and consulates that are processing visa applications will be reduced to 20 in the coming weeks, according to three U.S. officials and an internal memo obtained by The Associated Press. https://to.pbs.org/4dITud7

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oops

National Foundation for American Policy

New Research: ICE arrests harm local economies by reducing consumer spending. @profzeke.bsky.social: “The economic damage done to local communities by this administration’s approach to immigration enforcement is widespread, indiscriminate and persistent.” @mclem.org www.forbes.com/sites/stuart...

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Dear foot Meet projectile Shot by hand Led by brain Full of straw

Free Movement

Long thread alert 🧵 1. UK universities increasingly market start-up hubs and incubators to international students. But many arrive to find their immigration conditions prohibit the very activities those programmes encourage. We look at the student visa trap.

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WBG hasn't been worried about conflicts of interest between IFC and World Bank because the two “are separate legal entities, with distinct objectives, management, information flows and governance processes.” ...not any more. So, what's the institution doing about that?

Charles Kenny

Blog: Too Cavalier About Conflicts of Interest at the World Bank? The Private Sector Investment Lab and the IFC-World Bank unit mergers both raise concerns about conflict of interest policies at the World Bank Group.

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@davidpilling.bsky.social on Dangote. Perhaps necessary for Nigerian industrialization? Still sad.

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Blog: Too Cavalier About Conflicts of Interest at the World Bank? The Private Sector Investment Lab and the IFC-World Bank unit mergers both raise concerns about conflict of interest policies at the World Bank Group.

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Enjoyed writing this for the new magazine In Development: Where’s My Ministry For Emigration? On the new age of mass migration and what it could mean for the developing world. indevelopmentmag.com/wheres-my-mi...

Where’s My Ministry For Emigration? – In Developmentevidence and argument for a developing worldindevelopmentmag.com
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ICE activity => unemployment for the US born. For every immigrant ICE arrests, one US-born worker loses their job. Effect is concentrated amongst non-college educated. www.colorado.edu/today/2026/0...

Heightened ICE enforcement harms US-born workers, shrinks workforceA new study shows that heightened immigration enforcement reduces employment opportunities for some U.S. born men while shrinking the overall workforce,www.colorado.edu
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Relying on emigration as a growth strategy in this global climate risky, but also true of trade. And as the rich world ages, not convinced it will be harder to find a new place to move than a new place to export. One opportunity is expanding in aggregate, the other shrinking.

Charles Kenny

Obviously I'm more optimistic about the potential upside, but I'd definitely agree that migration as a growth strategy both carries risks and isn't primarily about absolute numbers.

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Obviously I'm more optimistic about the potential upside, but I'd definitely agree that migration as a growth strategy both carries risks and isn't primarily about absolute numbers.

Gavin Jackson

Inspired by @charlesjkenny.bsky.social new paper on emigration as a development strategy I visited the Indian state of Kerala, which has certainly escaped poverty by sending expats to the Gulf but doesn’t look like it will get rich with that approach. economist.com/finance-and-...

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Blog with @eeshani.bsky.social @markusgold.bsky.social and Brian Webster Cholera Deaths Nearly Doubled in Africa in 2025. Cuts to Aid May Have Contributed. 7,500 reported cholera deaths in SS Africa in 2025, ~2x 2024/2023.

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New blog: Dealing with the Legacy of Billions to Trillions We need a reckoning about the toxic legacy of the idea that we could take billions in aid and generate trillions in private finance for development because it is still polluting development finance discussions...

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