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Polling Averages In Quebec: 🔴 LPC: 41% (-2) ⚜️ BQ: 27% (-1) 🔵 CPC: 23% (-) 🟠 NDP: 6% (+1) 🟢 GPC: 3% (+2) (% Change With 2025 Election)

Toronto - Chow Approval: Crime: Disapprove: 45% Approve: 33% Traffic Congestion: Disapprove: 52% Approve: 29% Housing Affordability: Disapprove: 46% Approve: 30% Property Taxes: Disapprove: 44% Approve: 32% Forum / July 29, 2026

Toronto - Chow Approval Polling: Disapprove: 42% Approve: 40% Forum / July 29, 2026

Toronto - Mayoral Polling: 🟣 Chow: 47% 🔵 Bradford: 32% 🟡 Alexander: 11% 🟣 Chow: 48% 🔵 Bradford: 36% Forum / July 29, 2026

Mayoral Vote intention for Vancouver

Polling Averages In Ontario: 🔴 LPC: 49% (-) 🔵 CPC: 35% (-9) 🟠 NDP: 11% (+6) 🟢 GPC: 3% (+2) (% Change With 2025 Election)

Latest Polling Canada Ontario Model - Eastern Ontario Averages: 🔵 PC: 41% 🔴 LIB: 34% 🟠 NDP: 16% 🟢 GRN: 4% - July 28, 2026 - Full model and article here: canadianpolling.substack.com/p/after-year...

After Years of Control, Ford Faces a Real FightA string of weaker polls and collapsing approval ratings are raising new questions about Doug Ford's political futurecanadianpolling.substack.com

"I trust the Prime Minister of Canada to make the best decisions on issues of national unity" All: Agree: 61% Disagree: 27% Agree Among: Quebec: 66% Alberta: 48% LPC Voters: 85% NDP Voters: 63% CPC Voters: 41% Research Co. / July 22, 2026

"Canada would be better off as an American State" All: Disagree: 73% Agree: 20% Agree Among: Central Prairies: 25% Alberta: 23% BC: 21% Quebec: 20% Ontario: 20% Atlantic Canada: 12% CPC Voters: 29% NDP Voters: 25% LPC Voters: 17% Research Co. / July 22, 2026

"My Province would be better off as an American State" All: Disagree: 71% Agree: 21% Agree Among: Alberta: 25% BC: 24% Central Prairies: 23% Quebec: 22% Ontario: 21% Atlantic Canada: 14% CPC Voters: 33% NDP Voters: 24% LPC Voters: 17% Research Co. / July 22, 2026

"I would vote in favour of Canada becoming an American state" All: Disagree: 72% Agree: 20% Agree Among: Central Prairies: 27% Alberta: 24% BC: 20% Ontario: 20% Quebec: 18% Atlantic Canada: 14% NDP Voters: 32% CPC Voters: 31% LPC Voters: 14% Research Co. / July 22, 2026

"I would vote in favour of my province becoming it's own country" All: Disagree: 65% Agree: 24% Agree Among: Alberta: 33% Quebec: 29% Central Prairies: 28% Ontario: 24% BC: 16% Atlantic Canada: 12% CPC Voters: 35% NDP Voters: 27% LPC Voters: 17% Research Co. / July 22, 2026

"How likely do you think the following takes place - Voters in Alberta voting to hold a binding provincial referendum on whether or not Alberta should separate from Canada" All: Unlikely: 41% Likely: 40% Among Albertans: Likely: 50% Unlikely: 30% Research Co. / July 22, 2026

"How likely do you think the following takes place - The United States takes steps to annex Alberta as an American State" All: Unlikely: 52% Likely: 30% Among Albertans: Unlikely: 54% Likely: 24% Research Co. / July 22, 2026

"How likely do you think the following takes place - The US recognizes Alberta's sovereignty if a majority of chose to hold a binding referendum on whether Alberta should separate from Canada" All: Unlikely: 41% Likely: 33% Among Albertans: Unlikely: 44% Likely: 26% Research Co. / July 22, 2026

"How likely do you think the following take place - The US recongizes Alberta's sovereignty even if a majority of voters reject holding a referendum on whether Canada should separate from Canada" All: Unlikely: 46% Likely: 28% Among Albertans: Unlikely: 52% Likely: 26% Research Co / July 22, 2026

"If voters in Alberta ultimately choose to hold a referendum on whether to separate from Canada, do you think the Gov't of Canada should ultimately allow Alberta's separation to happen?" All: No: 62% Yes: 28% No By Province: BC: 70% ON: 67% MB/SK: 62% ATL: 62% AB: 54% QC: 51%

"How serious a threat do you believe these new US tariffs represent for the Canadian economy?" A Threat: 76% Not A Threat: 18% Leger / July 27, 2026

Confidence In Mark Carney To Achieve The Best Possible Outcome For Canada Regarding The US: High Confidence: 53% Low Confidence: 38% Leger / July 27, 2026

"Which of the following do you think is most likely to happen?" Some tariffs will take effect - others will be reduced or cancelled: 40% Trump will not proceed with the tariffs: 16% Tariffs will take full effect: 16%