Профиль

Bronwyn Hayward

Профиль Vively

NZ politics professor at Uni of Canterbury, NZ, political scientist: youth & climate, sustainability, democracy, urban resilience (IPCC author/co-ordinating author AR6, RE for cities & climate special report AR7)

⟳ Репост от Bronwyn Hayward

Water minister Emma Hardy said the UK needs to be "prepared for this new normal". Except this won't be a "new normal" because "normal" conditions will keep shifting, with droughts, heatwaves, wildfires, storms, floods and diseases becoming worse through feedbacks as time passes.

Major incident declared after large wildfire breaks out - as UK warned of 'new normal' after drought declaredFirefighters in Suffolk were battling the biggest wildfire of Wednesday, but other crews were kept busy elsewhere in the country too. It broke out just hours after half of England was declared to be i...news.sky.com

however as I said to aitkesandpains.bsky.social the trend is not appearing like that now -but either way it's not the polling that is my worry as I expect Top to pick up a significant protest vote, my worry is the 'being all things to all people' approach just isn't credible when so much is at stake

My worry is not the polling -Top will gain a significant protest vote The problem is that TOP voters need to know what they are voting for. It’s not credible in a hard election to continue a narrative that you’re above politics & can work with any party-really? That’s just transactional not noble

⟳ Репост от Bronwyn Hayward

But as I can see TOP can’t state its bottom lines because it was a political party created by design It is trying to be all things to all voters & it’s not yet clear that it’s ‘recruited’ leader commands the internal party Not knowing bottom lines is problem for TOP voters so media needs to ask!

But as I can see TOP can’t state its bottom lines because it was a political party created by design It is trying to be all things to all voters & it’s not yet clear that it’s ‘recruited’ leader commands the internal party Not knowing bottom lines is problem for TOP voters so media needs to ask!

TOP if it wants to address this, needs to state its bottom lines What will it protect? And how? Te Tirit? Homeless? The environment? Paris? Human rights?

those voters who want progressive change have a real a problem now Despite National’s attacks on environment & Tiriti & poor/vulnerable Top continues to offer Nats an olive branch Polling suggests TOP is taking votes off Labour, Greens not National So Top votes may still Nat in power anyway

Jimchi: This Presents A Dilemma ASMRALT: Jimchi: This Presents A Dilemma ASMRstatic.klipy.comDr Sarah Hendrica Bickerton 🏳️‍🌈

The other option that a friend of mine mentioned is of course is that TOP could provide confidence and supply, not formally be in coalition. Luxon did not rule that out.

Make sure your family, friends, workmates, all the people you meet, are registered to vote because the NZ government has tried to restrict voting- something I never thought I would say about a New Zealand democracy vote.nz

vote.nz

Thanks to @henrycooke.bsky.social & @graemeedgeler.bsky.social for highlighting this-no NZ govt should be able to unilaterally change voting. Removing registration rights established since 1948 impacts 230,000+ people & undermines the legitimacy of election results www.thepost.co.nz/politics/361...

interestingly @graemeedgeler.bsky.social quite a few Labour and National and green MPs have been asking me for examples of good lobby regulatory practice (alerting @drdeanknight.bsky.social too’) so hope springs eternal that change might happen with new generations of MPs…& public pressure

It’s an interesting time because the major parties are losing votes and lack of trust is a growing issue - so tackling their donations and lobbying and the way they approach urgency matters- there is no way I’d give govt a 4 Year term with such weak institutional checks in executive power right now

None of these are direct @drdeanknight.bsky.social has been thinking of strengthening institutions- the latest amendment papers trick is really marginal too- many other suggestions - writing a paper on it- what are your favoured options?

1)regs for transparency of lobbying so that voters have better trust in the legislative process 2) we need to improve the electoral act so that the right to vote vote registration is entrenched 3) while parliament is sovereign use of urgency needs review /attorney Gen etc 4) cap on donations

⟳ Репост от Bronwyn Hayward

Everyone needs to check their enrolment status. It only takes a moment. And for those who are not technology literate, a family member or friend can do that for them. Also, librarians are a wonderful resource, too.

In the meantime this vote suppression action in a very tight election like 2026 undermined the legitimacy of any govt eventually elected & the trust and faith of NZers in our elections Get enrolled- and get your friends/family enrolled too vote.nz

vote.nz
Следующие публикации