2nd is epstein files. we don't really know what's in those redactions. maybe not anything worse than we already know. maybe something that will erode support with his base. maybe won't come out before election. maybe will.
3rd Iran war could get much worse. people have been mostly focused on economic problems (see 1). but trump is deeply incompetent and escalating the war. a major fuck up where a number of americans die could be devastating.