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Survation.

NEW: Survation Holyrood MRP SNP is almost certain to form the next government, albeit without an overall majority. They are likely to win 59 seats - six short of the 65 needed for a majority, with a tight race for 2nd place between Reform UK and Labour. www.survation.com/final-survat...

Final Survation Holyrood Poll of the 2026 Elections | SurvationSurvation’s final Holyrood polling of the cycle indicates that the Scottish National Party is almost certain to form the next government, albeit without an overall...www.survation.com
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Survation.

Projected Seats: SNP: 59 (53-64) Reform: 18 (15-20) Labour: 17 (14-20) Greens: 16 (13-18) Conservatives: 13 (10-15) Lib Dems: 8 (6-10)

Обсуждение

Ответы

Survation.

Implied vote share from the MRP suggests the SNP leads the Constituency vote by 20 points, and the Regional List vote by 13 points. Constituency Vote: SNP: 39% LAB: 19% REF: 17% CON: 12% LD: 10% GRN: 2% OTH: 2% Regional List Vote: SNP: 29% LAB: 16% REF: 17% CON: 13% LD: 8% GRN: 15% OTH: 2%

Ответ для Survation.
Survation.

Regardless of whether the SNP fall short of a majority or not, a Pro-independence majority is almost guaranteed. This is in spite of an expected majority of Pro-union votes in both the Constituency and Regional List according to the implied vote shares.