Hurricane Specialist for Fox Weather based in Miami
TROPICS UPDATE: The tropics remain on holiday. Yesterday, the long-range computer models hinted that something might try to spin up way out in the Atlantic, but our consensus has backed off that idea. Often models oscillate in low odds scenarios. Holiday continues for now. More at HurricaneIntel.com
TROPICS UPDATE: Hostility reigns supreme across the tropical Atlantic, the Caribbean, and the Gulf, so no development is expected well into August. But there are finally some hints in the models of some activity in the eastern Atlantic in a couple of weeks. We'll see. More at HurricaneIntel.com
TROPICS UPDATE: On a positive note, every factor we look at is detrimental to tropical development in the Atlantic, the Caribbean, and the Gulf. On the other hand, the water around Florida and Louisiana are warmer than normal, which is adding to the heat misery. More at HurricaneIntel.com
TROPICS UPDATE: From Africa to Central America, the atmosphere remains amazingly hostile to tropical development. There is no sign that will change anytime soon. 100 years ago today the east coast from Miami to Charleston was recovering from the July 1926 hurricane. More at HurricaneIntel.com
100 YEARS AGO TODAY the 1926 Nassau Hurricane was sweeping north along the Florida coast. Miami Beach and Fort Lauderdale took hits, and the storm was heading north. This hurricane is largely forgotten because of the devastating hurricane to come less than 2 months later. More at HurricaneIntel.com
100 YEARS AGO TODAY a Cat 4 hurricane was slammed into Nassau head on. It was the worst storm there in memory with widespread devastation. Winds increased in Miami Beach that afternoon. It was Mother Nature's opening salvo of the epic hurricane season of 1926 for Miami. More at HurricaneIntel.com
TROPICS UPDATE: While the Atlantic is on tropical snooze, the Pacific is busy. Hurricane #Fausto is heading toward #Hawaii. It will be a weak version when it reaches the state about Tuesday. The odds favor it tracking offshore just to the north, but it will be close. More at HurricaneIntel.com
TROPICS UDATE: #Bertha's remnants are over the mountains of northern Mexico. It's trek across the Gulf and Texas was mostly uneventful, but some bands of strong winds developed behind the storm. Now the Atlantic, Gulf, and Caribbean have hit snooze. More at HurricaneIntel.com
TROPICS UPDATE: It's #Bertha's last day. The center we track is over SW Louisiana but most of the significant weather is far out over the Gulf. Still, it's causing gusty winds and elevated tides along the coast. The whole mess will move into Texas later today. Stay aware. More at HurricaneIntel.com
TROPICS UPDATE: #Bertha 's landfall in southeastern Louisiana is imminent, but it's looking more likely that the story will continue after the circulation we've been following dies over land. A center could reform and continue toward TX arriving tomorrow afternoon. More at HurricaneIntel.com
TROPICS UPDATE: Disheveled Tropical Storm #Bertha is flexing it's muscle a bit but the strong and hostile upper winds will increase, limiting intensification. Also, the worst weather will stay offshore. Still, water rise and dangerous surf are likely in the northern Gulf. More at HurrricaneIntel.com
TROPICS UPDATE: Depression #Two is struggling under hostile upper winds & with dry air wrapped into its circulation. But it's still expected to organize enough to become Tropical Storm #Bertha. The environment ahead never gets very conducive to development however. The analysis at HurricaneIntel.com
UPDATED TROPICS: @NHC_Atlantic has pulled the string on Tropical Depression #TWO with watches issued for much of the Florida Panhandle. The system looks likely to strengthen into Tropical Storm #Bertha in the next day or two. The full revised update at HurricaneIntel.com
TROPICS UPDATE: The Gulf low-pressure system officially designated Invest #91L is getting better organized. There's a high chance it will develop into a tropical depression or Tropical Storm #Bertha in the next day or two. Stay aware from FL to LA around the Gulf coast. More at HurricaneIntel.com
TROPICS UPDATE: The sprawling low pressure system off Florida's west coast will slowly drift north spreading corridors of heavy rain over parts of the FL peninsula into next week. Tropical development chances remain low. More at HurricaneIntel.com
TROPICS UPDATE: A developing disturbance in the Gulf near Tampa will linger and meander into next week. Heavy rain looks likely from the northern Gulf across FL to the Carolina coast. Chances of tropical development remain low. More at HurricaneIntel.com
TROPICS UPDATE: @NHC_Atlantic is noting two Areas to Watch, though neither are likely the turn into tropical systems with any significant impact. The system developing this weekend near Florida is likely to produce heavy rain. Be aware. More at HurricaneIntel.com
TROPICS UPDATE: Keeping a little eye on the northern Gulf in about a week. And looking back to July 1926. The building boom of 1925 was faltering, but Miami was having a good summer. Nobody could imagine what hurricane season would bring with Round 1 a couple weeks away. More at HurricaneIntel.com
TROPICS UPDATE: Only a total of 9 named storms, 4 hurricanes, and 1 Cat 3+ is the new prediction from Colorado State forecasters. It's a reflection of the confidence that they now have that El Niño will be strong and have a significant dampening effect on the season. More at HurricaneIntel.com
TROPICS UPDATE: Mother Nature appears to be planning an extended tropical break across the Atlantic, the Caribbean, and the Gulf. Between the hostile upper winds, cool ocean, and Saharan dust, nothing is expect for the next week at least. Enjoy! More at HurricaneIntel.com