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Who doesn’t love gossamer!

Was an awesome seminar! Still can’t believe how close the planting year plots were and yet still had such distinct diversity 🤯

Our rules are broken up into 3 pillars: iteration in the data model integration process, using multiples sources of data, and understanding and embracing uncertainty. We had a lot of fun crafting and refining the ten rules and hope it’ll be of use to those new to the data-model integration process.

Far from the least in my heart

@gcbias.bsky.social have you seen them yet?

your reign of terror has spread across the entire fifth floor too… truly a horrifying moment when I tried it

Excited to hear folks' thoughts! It is a project I have been really excited about and am glad to get out into the world. Please reach out with any questions, ideas, or feedback :D . (9/9)

Lastly, we apply it to a model of keystone predation to demonstrate how the loss of a top predator can cause the secondary extinction of a prey species, paying homage to classic experiments of secondary extinction by Dr. Robert Paine. (8/X)

We then apply our method to a grassland community with both facilitation and competition. We find several possible secondary extinctions and find that a mix of competition against the secondarily extinct species and facilitation for competitors against the secondarily extinct species. (7/X)

We apply this to three different models to show its utility. We use an empirically-derived model from @nathanjbkraft.bsky.social's lab to identify possible secondary extinctions in a fully competitive, annual plant community and demonstrate how these dynamics arise! (6/X)

Once we identify when a secondary extinction occurs, we can understand why by asking (1) why the secondarily extinct species has a negative invasion growth rate at the disassembled community but (2) a positive invasion growth rate in a community containing the primarily extinct species (5/X)

We use invasion growth rates to develop the "Community Disassembly Graph". Nodes represent coexisting communities and directed edges represent transitions from one community composition to another due to extinction. We can use this graph to identify possible secondary extinctions. (4/X)

We apply recently-developed techniques from dynamical systems theory and modern coexistence theory to identify (1) WHEN and WHY secondary extinctions occur. We demonstrate that invasion growth rates (per capita growth rates of species when rare) can achieve these goals! (3/X)

Coexistence outcomes often depend on the complex interplay of species interactions. Consequently in some cases, the extinction of one species can trigger the loss of another, a process known as secondary extinction, as explained by a plaque I came across at the Bronx Zoo. (2/X)

COS 035 - COS - Modeling: Communities, Disturbance, Succession 2 Tue, Aug 12 8:00 – 9:30 AM EDT BCC 344

He looked so gray but in the picture looks so blue so we weren’t sure hahah